NCAA Football Picking Contest XII

Discussion in 'Sports and Recreation' started by 30A Skunkape, Aug 26, 2018.

  1. aTmMom

    aTmMom Beach Lover

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    I'm not talking about the confidence pool, I have no interest in doing things that way. I don't gamble on sports, I do this because it is fun and keeps my interested in games I might not otherwise care about. The "splaining" I was referring to is the reference to Kurt and myself,

    Next year, thinking AT and Kurt gonna have a heap of “ figuring” raining down on them, as there will be no benefit to when you post...

    ( pretty EZ to figure out what that advantage is) And maybe you’d like me to ‘ splain it...( maybe not)


    I don't post my picks or make my picks with anybody else in mind. If you are gambling for money I hope it is going better for you than this little pick-em contest is.



     
  2. Red Dawg I

    Red Dawg I Beach Lover

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    Navy at Army (-7.5)
    MORE

    ARMY or NAVY

    ARMY or NAVY
    ARMY or NAVY

    ARMY or NAVY

    ARMY or NAVY
    ARMY or NAVY

    YES or NO


    ROLL TIDE!
     
  3. Lady D

    Lady D SoWal Insider

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    LAST CHANCE TO SCORE POINTS! Have fun:spin:

    Saturday, December 8

    Navy at Army (-7.5)

    The Over/Under for Army/Navy is 40 points. Will MORE or LESS than 40 points be scored?

    Which team will score more total points? ARMY or NAVY

    Which team will score FIRST (Offense or defense first to earn points)? ARMY or NAVY

    Which team will score LAST (Offense or defense last to earn points)? ARMY or NAVY

    Which team will rush for more yards? ARMY or NAVY

    Which team will pass for more yards? ARMY or NAVY

    Which team will kick more field goals(not PATs)? ARMY or NAVY

    Which team will recover more fumbles? ARMY or NAVY

    Will this game feature an interception? YES or NO
     
  4. aTmMom

    aTmMom Beach Lover

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    LAST CHANCE TO SCORE POINTS! Have fun:spin:

    Saturday, December 8

    Navy at Army (-7.5)

    The Over/Under for Army/Navy is 40 points. Will MORE or LESS than 40 points be scored?

    Which team will score more total points? ARMY or NAVY

    Which team will score FIRST (Offense or defense first to earn points)? ARMY or NAVY

    Which team will score LAST (Offense or defense last to earn points)? ARMY or NAVY

    Which team will rush for more yards? ARMY or NAVY

    Which team will pass for more yards? ARMY or NAVY

    Which team will kick more field goals(not PATs)? ARMY or NAVY

    Which team will recover more fumbles? ARMY or NAVY

    Will this game feature an interception? YES or NO
     
  5. Kurt Lischka

    Kurt Lischka Admin Staff Member

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    Army (-7.5)

    The Over/Under for Army/Navy is 40 points. Will MORE or LESS than 40 points be scored?

    Which team will score more total points? ARMY

    Which team will score FIRST (Offense or defense first to earn points)? NAVY

    Which team will score LAST (Offense or defense last to earn points)? Navy

    Which team will rush for more yards? ARMY

    Which team will pass for more yards? ARMY

    Which team will kick more field goals(not PATs)? NAVY

    Which team will recover more fumbles? ARMY

    Will this game feature an interception? no
     
  6. Beach Runner

    Beach Runner beats on hood

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    LAST CHANCE TO SCORE POINTS! Have fun[​IMG]

    Saturday, December 8

    Navy at Army (-7.5)

    The Over/Under for Army/Navy is 40 points. Will MORE or LESS than 40 points be scored?

    Which team will score more total points? ARMY or NAVY

    Which team will score FIRST (Offense or defense first to earn points)? ARMY or NAVY

    Which team will score LAST (Offense or defense last to earn points)? ARMY or NAVY

    Which team will rush for more yards? ARMY or NAVY

    Which team will pass for more yards? ARMY or NAVY

    Which team will kick more field goals(not PATs)? ARMY or NAVY

    Which team will recover more fumbles? ARMY or NAVY

    Will this game feature an interception? YES or NO
     
  7. 30A Skunkape

    30A Skunkape Mr. Small Box

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    Navy at Army (-7.5)

    The Over/Under for Army/Navy is 40 points. Will MORE or LESS than 40 points be scored?

    Which team will score more total points? ARMY or NAVY

    Which team will score FIRST (Offense or defense first to earn points)? ARMY or NAVY

    Which team will score LAST (Offense or defense last to earn points)? ARMY or NAVY

    Which team will rush for more yards? ARMY or NAVY

    Which team will pass for more yards? ARMY or NAVY

    Which team will kick more field goals(not PATs)? ARMY or NAVY

    Which team will recover more fumbles? ARMY or NAVY

    Will this game feature an interception? YES or NO
     
  8. 30A Skunkape

    30A Skunkape Mr. Small Box

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    Bac- I appreciate your enthusiasm. I invite you to hatch some sort of bowl picking contest after this week if you wish. I think everyone would appreciate that.

    Betting money is a no-no if for no other reason that it is probably illegal to use a forum like this to facilitate the activity. I am sure Kurt has enough headaches in his life to not need racketeering charges being added to the list:banned::lol:
     
  9. Bac

    Bac Beach Lover

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    Army+7.5
    Under...Less
    Army
    Army
    Navy
    Army
    Navy
    Navy
    Army
    YES Interception
     
  10. Bac

    Bac Beach Lover

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    BTW...will post re: Confidence Pool a different day, a different time.

    ( It is NOT gambling...it is mere decision making...just a modicum of difference from picking the teams... )
     
  11. 30A Skunkape

    30A Skunkape Mr. Small Box

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    NO fumbles, and BOTH squads got a field goal apiece, so those two questions are thrown out:nuts:
     
  12. Lady D

    Lady D SoWal Insider

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    30A Skunkape there were two lost fumbles by Navy.
     
    Last edited: Dec 8, 2018
  13. Bac

    Bac Beach Lover

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    OK, OK

    So, College Bowl season is upon us...and there are 40 of them.

    A simple “ confidence pool” would require that one assigns a “ value” to their “confidence” among all 40 games’ outcomes, with a value of “ 40” assigned to the team you believe most likely WILL OUTRIGHT WIN THEIR BOWL GAME, and moving on down the ladder, one will end up having to chose among all 40
    games , in advance of 12/15 , with a point value of descending amount....which will express that person’s belief in their respective opinion as to which team will emerge the victor of each and every bowl game

    Example A:

    40- Alabama
    39- Ohio State
    38- SanDiego State
    37- Georgia Tech

    Etc, etc...( all the way down to ...)

    2- Toledo
    1- Hawaii



    Example B:

    (A bit more complicated...)

    Rank the same games by which team one believes will most likely “ cover the spread” ...win or lose...for all 40 games

    - we did this for about 3 games each week during the regular season...now one only has to do it for all 40, in advance...

    Easier said, than done...

    ( just an example here)

    40- Wake Forest + 5
    39- Cincinnati -5
    38- Alcorn State + 7-1/2

    Etc, etc....(all the way down to )

    2- Troy +2-1/2
    1- California PK’em

    This requires a bit more effort than just picking which team will win their games...In this example...anybody chose Wake Forest +5 as #40 , and they infact cover that spread, they get 40 points!

    - Somebody else chooses Wake +5, say...as their 13th most confident pick, they get 13 points.

    - or, somebody chooses Memphis -5, say...as their 28th most confident pick, and Memphis “ covers the spread” and Memphis wins by at least 6 points, they get 28 points, and anybody chose Wake Forest +5 ( for that game) gets 0 points...

    - A score of , say...33-28 means nobody gets any points for that game , beacuse that would be considered a TIE



    Still transparent...still an NCAAFB game-picking“ contest”

    (A) or (B).....regular tracking of the games, add up the poins over each week’s games...or the bowl games...MOST POINTS WINS!

    BTW,
    there is absolutely NO GAMBLING,
    NO MONEY,
    NOTHING ILLEGAL
    involved in a “ confidence pool”, vs. a straight “ pick the winner “ of each game challenge!

    It’s no different than picking who will gain the most yards in a game,
    which QB will have a higher completion percentage,
    Or even, who will win the coin toss,

    ..............whatever(!?)

    It is still all-for-fun, just generally requires a longer spell with the thinking cap on...and a bit more record keeping...

    BUT THE EXCITEMENT STAYS WITH THE POOL , and PLAYERS FOR THE WHOLE YEAR...because like a horse race, every horse has at least some chance all the way until the end of the race...and each week, the lead can change hands...


    PS- I am not advocating we must do this for this years bowl games, or that we couldn’t wait until next year to implement for each week ( like 15 games will require a ranking of 15, 14, 13....2,1 = a total possible score of 120 points)

    - Say , for example, that BW and Skunky tie for 10 wins that week...a confidence pool could mean BW might could get 105 points, and Skunkape only got 55 !!)...But-they both had 10 wins that week...

    - Moreover, Kurt only picked the spread on 6 games correctly, but he ends up with 62 points !


    So, most “ pick’em contests” involve some version of a confidence pool, and pretty sure is more likely to garner more interest from more players...because they are used to this methodology...and thinking they have a more “ vested interest” in making their picks...

    ( plenty of stuff one can “ research” re: sports confidence pools


    In the meantime, on to the Bowl season!


    Kevin Achatz
    Mkyle8385@gmail.com
    850-687-3128
     
  14. Lady D

    Lady D SoWal Insider

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    This is a little over my head. Just want the pick'em to stay the way it is along with the bowl picks.
     
  15. aTmMom

    aTmMom Beach Lover

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    I totally agree with Lady D!
     
  16. cnestg8r

    cnestg8r Beach Fanatic

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    Perhaps it makes sense to create a new thread for confidence picking. Leave Skunky's as is and has been. Each participant can choose either one or both. If the confidence schema builds a larger group of participants as advertised, that would be terrific. We don't need to burn the bridge that brought us together (although declining).

    I have done some analysis that shows our individual handicap is picking who we want to win vs who is favored to win.

    For what it is worth...
     
  17. Bob Wells

    Bob Wells Beach Fanatic

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    cnestgr8 said
    I have done some analysis that shows our individual handicapis picking who we want to win vs who is favored to win.

    GOT ME! I tried it the other way, looking at betting sites looking for the win. Gave up half way through the season. Less stress just picking.
    Bob "middle of the pack" Wells
     
  18. Lady D

    Lady D SoWal Insider

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    Ready for the bowl picks. Games are set. Hopefully I will do better with the bowl picks than regular season picks.
     
  19. Bac

    Bac Beach Lover

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    Games starting in a few hours..so will pick them all...

    NCAT
    Utah State
    TUlane
    AZ State
    GSouthern
    mid Ten State
    Northern Illinois
    Ohio
    Marshall ( we are!)
    FIU
    BYU
    Memphis
    Houston
    Buffalo
    Hawaii ( home cooking!)
    Boston College
    Minnesota
    TCU ( CheezLouise!)
    Duke
    Wisconsin
    Baylor
    Purdue
    West Virginia
    WashState
    Michigan!!!
    Virginia
    Nevada
    Oregon
    C.I.N.C.I.N.N.A.T.I.
    Missouri
    Northwestern
    Texas A&M
    Pittsburgh
    IOWA
    PennState
    LSU
    Ohio State
    Georgia
    Alabama
    Clemson
     
  20. cnestg8r

    cnestg8r Beach Fanatic

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    Here are 42 bowls (excluding Jan 7 Championship) in chronological order...
    Good Luck, Merry Christmas and Happy 2019!


    South Dakota St vs North Dakota St
    Alcorn St vs North Carolina AT
    Tulane vs Louisiana-Lafayette
    North Texas vs Utah St
    Maine vs Eastern Washington
    Arizona St vs Fresno St
    Eastern Michigan vs Georgia Southern
    Middle Tennessee St. vs Appalachian St
    Northern Illinois vs UAB
    Ohio vs San Diego St
    Marshall vs South Florida
    Florida Intl vs Toledo
    BYU vs Western Michigan
    Wake Forest vs Memphis
    Houston vs Army
    SUNY-Buffalo vs Troy
    Louisiana Tech vs Hawaii
    Boston College vs Boise St
    Minnesota vs Georgia Tech
    Texas Christian vs California
    Duke vs Temple
    Miami (FL) vs Wisconsin
    Vanderbilt vs Baylor
    Auburn vs Purdue
    Syracuse vs West Virginia
    Iowa St vs Washington St
    Florida vs Michigan
    South Carolina vs Virginia
    Arkansas St vs Nevada
    Notre Dame vs Clemson
    Oklahoma vs Alabama
    Virginia Tech vs Cincinnati
    Pittsburgh vs Stanford
    Michigan St vs Oregon
    Missouri vs Oklahoma St
    Northwestern vs Utah
    North Carolina St vs Texas AM
    Iowa vs Mississippi St
    LSU vs Central Florida
    Kentucky vs Penn St
    Washington vs Ohio St
    Texas vs Georgia
     
    Last edited: Dec 14, 2018

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