Matt J avatar
Matt JSWGBOther
8,492 views
Prices are dropping, listings are starting to last a little longer. I believe the current market has fallen down and is heavily labored at this point. It'll be crickets by Labor Day.

Replies

39
Bob Wells avatar
Bob WellsBeach Fanatic
#2
Prices are dropping, listings are starting to last a little longer. I believe the current market has fallen down and is heavily labored at this point. It'll be crickets by Labor Day.
You think in the near future we will be having an 08, folks bailing on their homes they overpaid for?
Dawn avatar
DawnBeach Fanatic
#3
You think in the near future we will be having an 08, folks bailing on their homes they overpaid for?
Not if rents keep going up.
Matt J avatar
Matt JSWGBAuthor
#5
You think in the near future we will be having an 08, folks bailing on their homes they overpaid for?

No. Thanks to the updated lending regulations people have skin I'm this game. I see a huge glut of short sales coming. Realtors just love those.
PoppaJ avatar
PoppaJSoWal Insider
#6
Prices are dropping, listings are starting to last a little longer. I believe the current market has fallen down and is heavily labored at this point. It'll be crickets by Labor Day.
Also can’t wait for the car market to stabilize and buyers remember which sellers were dealerships and which ones were stealerships.
iloveflorida avatar
ilovefloridaBeach Lover
#7
Also can’t wait for the car market to stabilize and buyers remember which sellers were dealerships and which ones were stealerships.
In a free market stealerships would go out of business.
PoppaJ avatar
PoppaJSoWal Insider
#8
In a free market stealerships would go out of business.
:rotfl:
James BentwoodBeach Fanatic
#9
Also can’t wait for the car market to stabilize and buyers remember which sellers were dealerships and which ones were stealerships.
The Tesla model of direct orders is changing the industry. Ford is going to it. Dealers are freaking out.
Ohio Girl avatar
Ohio GirlBeach Lover
#10
Prices are dropping, listings are starting to last a little longer. I believe the current market has fallen down and is heavily labored at this point. It'll be crickets by Labor Day.
You are absolutely right. It will be interesting to see how far prices fall. On a separate note, just received the proposed property tax for Walton Co. The appraised value of our home increased a lot so more money for taxes. I hope everyone who bought homes at ridiculous prices are happy now.
iloveflorida avatar
ilovefloridaBeach Lover
#11
You are absolutely right. It will be interesting to see how far prices fall. On a separate note, just received the proposed property tax for Walton Co. The appraised value of our home increased a lot so more money for taxes. I hope everyone who bought homes at ridiculous prices are happy now.
To much money in the system causes that.
Matt J avatar
Matt JSWGBAuthor
#12
You are absolutely right. It will be interesting to see how far prices fall. On a separate note, just received the proposed property tax for Walton Co. The appraised value of our home increased a lot so more money for taxes. I hope everyone who bought homes at ridiculous prices are happy now.

Prices won't tank, but a lot of people are suddenly realizing they didn't cash in their lottery ticket at the right time. There's definitely some hold out hopefuls based on new listings, but there's a lot of bored Realtors out there.

Regarding taxes, we got our trim notice today too, not a bill folks don't freak out. It shows if the budget stays the same my taxes go below a grand a year, and while I'd love to throw that down at Thanksgiving dinner, I'm good with an increase to provide bottom up raises that are restricted to hourly and critical county personnel. A lot of that increase will evaporate when our new residents from the last 3 years discover homestead exemptions. Ironically people who moved here from large metros and the northeast seem oblivious because they're still saving tons on property taxes.
SUP Boarder avatar
SUP BoarderBeach Lover
#13
What about ongoing and new construction? For example, St Joe / WaterSound Origins is expected to complete ~1,250 homes in the next year:

263 Camp Creek
465 Naturewalk
62 Greenway
115 Longleaf
72 Pines
275 Powell

Doesn't look like it will slow down...
Matt J avatar
Matt JSWGBAuthor
#14
What about ongoing and new construction? For example, St Joe / WaterSound Origins is expected to complete ~1,250 homes in the next year:

263 Camp Creek
465 Naturewalk
62 Greenway
115 Longleaf
72 Pines
275 Powell

Doesn't look like it will slow down...

They were selling before they were CO'd. They aren't selling until completion now. JOE also has the ability to hold onto these as long as they want to. Using the largest local home builder to gauge the market is probably a losing proposition.
iloveflorida avatar
ilovefloridaBeach Lover
#15
Sales way off in the report today. Fed will raise rates again at next FED meeting, due to persistent inflation. Mortgage rates then go up and the snowball begins.
Bob Wells avatar
Bob WellsBeach Fanatic
#16
You are absolutely right. It will be interesting to see how far prices fall. On a separate note, just received the proposed property tax for Walton Co. The appraised value of our home increased a lot so more money for taxes. I hope everyone who bought homes at ridiculous prices are happy now.
I take it you aren't homesteaded
Matt J avatar
Matt JSWGBAuthor
#17
I take it you aren't homesteaded

Shouldn't be if they rent.
Ohio Girl avatar
Ohio GirlBeach Lover
#18
We don’t rent our house out and we aren’t homesteaded. Topic of discussion with my better half to decide if we want to spend more time in FL.
Bob Wells avatar
Bob WellsBeach Fanatic
#19
We don’t rent our house out and we aren’t homesteaded. Topic of discussion with my better half to decide if we want to spend more time in FL.
So the way I understand it, if you aren't homesteaded the increase in assessment is restricted to 10%. If you were homesteaded I believe the assessed value is limited to 3%.
Matt J avatar
Matt JSWGBAuthor
#20
So the way I understand it, if you aren't homesteaded the increase in assessment is restricted to 10%. If you were homesteaded I believe the assessed value is limited to 3%.

3% is correct, but I don't believe there's any cap without homestead.

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