Invest 99, looks like the Cape Verde Season

Niceedoop, I fail to see the humor in that report.

Okay "funny" was a bad word...

Advice

Alright, this just makes me sick. We are to arrive in Seagrove Saturday. By the looks of the tracking, chances are Seagrove will be affected in some way. A question for those that have gone through this many times. At what point should we reconsider our trip?

Re: Advice

Alright, this just makes me sick. We are to arrive in Seagrove Saturday. By the looks of the tracking, chances are Seagrove will be affected in some way. A question for those that have gone through this many times. At what point should we reconsider our trip?

I've lived here my whole life.........and my opinion is that you don't reconsider your trip.....YET, just watch the reports closely..........course, I'm no weather expert.........looks like there are a couple more that posts on here than are more well versed in meteorology than I.

Re: Advice

Alright, this just makes me sick. We are to arrive in Seagrove Saturday. By the looks of the tracking, chances are Seagrove will be affected in some way. A question for those that have gone through this many times. At what point should we reconsider our trip?

Go ahead as scheduled. Pay close attention to the updates on this system by tuning into the media outlets such as The Weather Channel. If it looks like anything will happen, tourists will have opportunity to leave before the worst rolls in. My dad, uncle and I went down to our condo two days before Ivan hit to board up almost everyone's complex (snow birds) and we made it down and left with no traffic problems at all.

I wouldn't fret just yet. Just keep watching the reports from the links above.

Re: Advice

Go ahead as scheduled. Pay close attention to the updates on this system by tuning into the media outlets such as The Weather Channel. If it looks like anything will happen, tourists will have opportunity to leave before the worst rolls in. My dad, uncle and I went down to our condo two days before Ivan hit to board up almost everyone's complex (snow birds) and we made it down and left with no traffic problems at all.

I knew bsmart would respond...........just stay tuned to his reports, besides..........he's cuter than Jim Cantore

we love our bsmart, he lives up to his name. :clap_1:

Re: Advice

Go ahead as scheduled. Pay close attention to the updates on this system by tuning into the media outlets such as The Weather Channel. If it looks like anything will happen, tourists will have opportunity to leave before the worst rolls in. My dad, uncle and I went down to our condo two days before Ivan hit to board up almost everyone's complex (snow birds) and we made it down and left with no traffic problems at all.

I am not sure the weather channel is the best source. They are in the media business after all and have a tendancy to be dramatic.

Re: Advice

I knew bsmart would respond...........just stay tuned to his reports, besides..........he's cuter than Jim Cantore

That's true. ;-) Jim Cantore watch out!

to bsmart :clap_1:

A good source to keep up to date is

http://www.weatherunderground.com/tropical/

Look for Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog located on the right side of the page. His analysis is easy to understand, without too much technical data. ;-)



Last night's models of TS Chris

Re: Advice

I am not sure the weather channel is the best source. They are in the media business after all and have a tendancy to be dramatic.

I agree absolutely! They over-hype these storms to the point where I fear they are creating a 'cry wolf' scenario. I wish they would re-think their coverage so that the public will take them more seriously during the truly dangerous storms.

I would listen to SJ and bsmart over the Weather Channel anyday.

On that note....does anyone remember Jim Cantore riding in the back of a pick-up truck last season and describing the 'incredible wind gusts'? I just wanted to yell -"then pull the d*mn truck over to the side of the road and you will reduce the gusting by about 40mph!!!!!!" Stupid.

i still have yet to goose 'ol hurricane jim live on the air - one of my life's many unfilled ambitions - and one worth going to jail for (or hell, which is more than i can say for some of the other life's ambitions on my list!)

i still have yet to goose 'ol hurricane jim live on the air - one of my life's many unfilled ambitions

:clap_1:

A good source to keep up to date is

http://www.weatherunderground.com/tropical/

Look for Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog located on the right side of the page. His analysis is easy to understand, without too much technical data. ;-)



Last night's models of TS Chris

to SJ too:clap_1:

I likey like that GFDL track, and that's been the most accurate model so far on this storm. Paige you should be just fine.

C'mon down and enjoy the funn Paige:clap_1:

Maybe that's why Castro put his bro in charge and left town? He listened to TWC.

Paige, we are at least eight days away from experiencing any effects from Chris if we get any at all. The storm currently forecast to be approaching the Florida Straits or be south of the western edge of Cuba by Sunday. Which would not effect the weather in North West Florida. There is still a lot of uncertainty in the track and it might not even make it into the Gulf of Mexico. I think it will but from there it is anybody's guess where it goes.

Tropicwatch

Re: Advice

I agree absolutely! They over-hype these storms to the point where I fear they are creating a 'cry wolf' scenario. I wish they would re-think their coverage so that the public will take them more seriously during the truly dangerous storms.

I would listen to SJ and bsmart over the Weather Channel anyday.

On that note....does anyone remember Jim Cantore riding in the back of a pick-up truck last season and describing the 'incredible wind gusts'? I just wanted to yell -"then pull the d*mn truck over to the side of the road and you will reduce the gusting by about 40mph!!!!!!" Stupid.

Well, that may be so but I like watching their live coverage when one has come ashore. That looks pretty thrilling but they talk it to death before anything has happened.

From WeathterUnderground.com:


Chris is stronger

Posted by: JeffMasters, 4:05 PM EDT on August 01, 2006

The Hurricane Hunters found much stronger winds than expected in Chris this afternoon. The 2:50 pm EDT eye report indicated a central pressure of 1007 mb, down 2 mb from the most recent advisory. Most surprising were the winds in the southeast quadrant, which were in the 55-60 mph range. Radar out of Guadeloupe shows this intense band thunderstorms rather nicely. The northern side of Chris is still devoid of thunderstorms due to the dry air and wind shear. The storm's appearance on satellite imagery is improved from this morning, and shows the beginnings of a Central Dense Overcast (CDO) feature typical of strong tropical storms. Wind shear has dropped another 5 knots this afternoon, down to 10-20 knots, so some continued strengthening is possible. The latest set of model runs are quite divergent on what Chris might do, and I think we really need to wait until the next set of model runs is in before we can rely on the computer models. Unfortunately, tonight's flight of the NOAA jet was cancelled, so we'll have to wait until Wednesday night for the jet to fly. Most of the computer models are still dissipating Chris by five days from now.

I'll be back with an update in the morning with the latest.

Jeff Masters