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Hurricane Katrina - II

Kurt avatar
KurtAdminLocked
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wintersbk avatar
wintersbkBeach Fanatic
#2
Looks much farther west to me.

Kurt avatar
KurtAdminAuthor
#3

Edited

Tenn.GuyBeach Comber
#5
unfortunately, the new forecast shows the wind strength increasing to 115 knots by landfall which makes it a weak cat 4. Bummer for wherever it lands--hope they are dead wrong.
wintersbk avatar
wintersbkBeach Fanatic
#8
I'm no weatherman but it sure doesn't look like there is anything in those loops that is going to force this thing northward. :idontno:
Kurt avatar
KurtAdminAuthor
#9
I'm no weatherman but it sure doesn't look like there is anything in those loops that is going to force this thing northward. :idontno:

I try to glean some of the future direction from the loops but the steering winds are the very high ones which usually don't show on the loops. Sometimes you can see some high clouds on the visible loop.
Travel2MuchBeach Lover
#10
Having just made the call to have my SoWal house boarded, now it looks like I might be evacuating to SoWal (from New Orleans) in a day or so.

Hurricane Season. Gotta Love it.
Kurt avatar
KurtAdminAuthor
#11
Having just made the call to have my SoWal house boarded, now it looks like I might be evacuating to SoWal (from New Orleans) in a day or so.

Hurricane Season. Gotta Love it.

Head west or north. ;-)
Camp Creek Kid avatar
Camp Creek KidChristini Zambini
#12
Check out this link http://www.weatherunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/show.html

Good explanation about Katrina's track. Looks like she is becoming a greater threat to New Orleans. That is very bad. Good news is that Dr. Masters doesn't think she'll reach cat4 because of the dry air from the north. You can see it on Kurt's link of the satellite water vapor loop. The dry air is red.
JB avatar
JBBeach Fanatic
#13
Having just made the call to have my SoWal house boarded, now it looks like I might be evacuating to SoWal (from New Orleans) in a day or so.

Hurricane Season. Gotta Love it.

As mentioned in another thread, if this thing hits NOLA as a Cat 4...well, I just don't want to think about it.

Maybe they're all wrong and it will continue west straight into Mexico.
tropicwatch avatar
tropicwatchBeach Lover
#14
I think they will shift the model tracks back eastward. After the latest forecast tracks came out, Katrina started showing a northward component to its movement. If this continues, the models will definitely shift eastward again.

Model Tracks & Floater Image

Edited

Kurt avatar
KurtAdminAuthor
#15
After the latest forecast tracks came out, Katrina started showing a northward component to its movement.
Model Tracks & Floater Image

I don't see it yet - probably a wobble.

4pm CST - KATRINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. THIS MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE THIS EVENING...WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARDTHE WEST EXPECTED ON SATURDAY.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PMEDT.

Edited

JB avatar
JBBeach Fanatic
#16
I think they will shift the model tracks back eastward. After the latest forecast tracks came out, Katrina started showing a northward component to its movement. If this continues, the models will definitely shift eastward again.

Model Tracks & Floater Image

Disagree. We need some positive karma here and you ain't providing it, bro.
tropicwatch avatar
tropicwatchBeach Lover
#17
I would love for it to go to LA. or even furher west. It might have just been a one time wobble. For those with Knology Channel 29 is a radar channel and is set on Katrina. Watching to see if the trend continues.
Travel2MuchBeach Lover
#18
.... Looks like she is becoming a greater threat to New Orleans. That is very bad. ... .

People here (in NOLA) aren't getting worried at all, yet. Very calm. Just watching it to see when it turns N, which would be the real indicator on probable landfall. If it heads any further west, then there will be pandemonium here tomorrow, but SoWal then might be in the clear. It's that last minute right hook it is supposed to do which alarms me. Ivan was like that--was like a bullet towards NOLA, then turned NE the morning b/f.
WaltonUndercurrent avatar
WaltonUndercurrentBeach Lover
#19
We have a place in the French Quarter in NO that's our second home - a Cat 4 and higher in New Orleans could put water twenty or more feet above our doorstep if the surge from the Lake broke the levies - I don't want it here, but it really doesn't need to go there. Major loss of life, city probably wouldn't be inhabitable for weeks - maybe months. Baad news.

I'm hoping for Mexico or Gary, IN
Travel2MuchBeach Lover
#20
We have a place in the French Quarter in NO that's our second home - a Cat 4 and higher in New Orleans could put water twenty or more feet above our doorstep if the surge from the Lake broke the levies - I don't want it here, but it really doesn't need to go there. Major loss of life, city probably wouldn't be inhabitable for weeks - maybe months. Baad news.

I'm hoping for Mexico or Gary, IN

Oh please, let's not start yet with the "hurricane hitting NOLA" scenario. I expect it tomorrow night on the evening news ("Well, Bob, we expect that 1/2 will die from the flooding, and the other half 1/2 will die from exposure after being trapped on their roof for days fending off snakes and alligators..." (with nifty simulations on exactly how this will occur)).

It's that little extra lagniappe that makes Louisiana stand apart from the rest.

We'll start freaking (and/or drinking) in a day or so if this continues. The ax, BTW, is to chop through the roof.

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