Can anyone comment on the polls that have been conducted here in Walton concerning the sheriff's race? What do you think?
Replies
57Beach Lover
thanks for asking
I learned more about the people than I have the candidates. Overall I'm impressed with the level of intelligence residing within the county.
I learned more about the people than I have the candidates. Overall I'm impressed with the level of intelligence residing within the county.
Edited
Beach Fanatic
Atkinson 29 percent
Johnson 19 percent
Cooper 9 percent
margin of error 4.7 percent - 21 percent undecided
Poll completed 1 week ago
Last I saw
Johnson 19 percent
Cooper 9 percent
margin of error 4.7 percent - 21 percent undecided
Poll completed 1 week ago
Last I saw
Beach Comber
Pretty much looks like the numbers I've seen as well.
Beach LoverAuthor
Atkinson 29 percent
Johnson 19 percent
Cooper 9 percent
margin of error 4.7 percent - 21 percent undecided
Poll completed 1 week ago
Last I saw
Interested Girl,
Thanks. Looks good for Adkinson, uh? Way good!!
A ten percent lead seems like a big lead in such a crowded race. Really Big!!
Beach Fanatic
Who paid for the poll? I can get a majority to say the sky is falling if I ask the question the right way.
From what I hear and how candidates are acting I would say that is off. You do not plant negative stories about a particular candidate if you have a 20 point lead on them due to the backlash that negative politics always brings.
I would think the race is very close with Cooper and ralph about even in front, Adkinson close behind and Cornman about 5% behind those three. 
That is just personal observation and attitudes in different parts of the county may be diffrerent than here.
From what I hear and how candidates are acting I would say that is off. You do not plant negative stories about a particular candidate if you have a 20 point lead on them due to the backlash that negative politics always brings. I would think the race is very close with Cooper and ralph about even in front, Adkinson close behind and Cornman about 5% behind those three. That is just personal observation and attitudes in different parts of the county may be diffrerent than here.Beach Lover
ewwww
If what you say is true, then Walton County will once again be stifled and doomed to repeat history rather than stand out and make history.
I find it hard to believe ralph over anyone!Atkinson 29 percent
Johnson 19 percent
Cooper 9 percent
margin of error 4.7 percent - 21 percent undecided
Poll completed 1 week ago
Last I saw
If what you say is true, then Walton County will once again be stifled and doomed to repeat history rather than stand out and make history.
Edited
Beach Fanatic
The poll was the most extensive poll done this cycle and was run by one of our developers. It not only measured the candidates "likely voterd" but also measured the issues and perceptions those voters had on each candidate.
Your belief is that Atkinson tried to take out Cooper, but in reality it was Cornman - the desperate one. Atkinson wants Cooper to do well in Miramar Beach - that is Ralph County - and every vote that Cooper gets helps Atkinson.
I am sure that those numbers have closed some, but that margin will not be overcome. It will be closer but it will be Atkinson IMO.
Your belief is that Atkinson tried to take out Cooper, but in reality it was Cornman - the desperate one. Atkinson wants Cooper to do well in Miramar Beach - that is Ralph County - and every vote that Cooper gets helps Atkinson.
I am sure that those numbers have closed some, but that margin will not be overcome. It will be closer but it will be Atkinson IMO.
Beach Fanatic
The poll was the most extensive poll done this cycle and was run by one of our developers. It not only measured the candidates "likely voterd" but also measured the issues and perceptions those voters had on each candidate.
Your belief is that Atkinson tried to take out Cooper, but in reality it was Cornman - the desperate one. Atkinson wants Cooper to do well in Miramar Beach - that is Ralph County - and every vote that Cooper gets helps Atkinson.
I am sure that those numbers have closed some, but that margin will not be overcome. It will be closer but it will be Atkinson IMO.
Since you have access, mind sharing the results of the two BCC races? Any other races that were included including the possible D-4 that I saw mentioned?
Beach LoverAuthor
The poll was the most extensive poll done this cycle and was run by one of our developers. It not only measured the candidates "likely voterd" but also measured the issues and perceptions those voters had on each candidate.
Your belief is that Atkinson tried to take out Cooper, but in reality it was Cornman - the desperate one. Atkinson wants Cooper to do well in Miramar Beach - that is Ralph County - and every vote that Cooper gets helps Atkinson.
I am sure that those numbers have closed some, but that margin will not be overcome. It will be closer but it will be Atkinson IMO.
Interested Girl,
You seem pretty smart. I agree. This explains why Adkinson has seemingly concentrated his campaign on North Walton, and not expressed great interest in South Walton at all.
Go ahead, let Cooper keep getting all of Johnson's "South Walton" votes, while Adkinson takes care of North Walton, thereby winning the primary. Fuel prices are high. If I'm right, with a moderately strong candidate (such as Cooper) collecting lots of votes on the south-end, essentially Adkinson didn't really have to travel across the bridge (331) during the entire campaign anyway. Yet still wins the primary.
See, other people... Adkinson seems to have turned it around and used his opposition to his own advantage. Historically, Walton candidates have concentrated mostly on the south-end to win an election. Flip, flop it around... fool people up good. Stay north, save gas, and eventually win the election, while all those other candidates go straight to the south-end to politic. To late for us northern folks now, though.
Go Adkinson!!
Beach Comber
The poll was the most extensive poll done this cycle and was run by one of our developers. It not only measured the candidates "likely voterd" but also measured the issues and perceptions those voters had on each candidate.
Your belief is that Atkinson tried to take out Cooper, but in reality it was Cornman - the desperate one. Atkinson wants Cooper to do well in Miramar Beach - that is Ralph County - and every vote that Cooper gets helps Atkinson.
I am sure that those numbers have closed some, but that margin will not be overcome. It will be closer but it will be Atkinson IMO.
Alas the truth be know "...run by one of our developers" Would that be one of the same developers that has contributed in some way several thousand dollars to the Adkinson campaign (check voterfocus and take your pick)? I would hate to know I gave the farm away to a loser so I would try and doctor that spin myself. If its factual, congratulations to Mr Adkinson should it hold true as the only real poll that matters is Tuesday night. Either way, I think our Sheriff has his days numbered. I dont think I would hang my hat too long on the Miramar helps Adkinson theory. This is a different year.
Beach Lover
I keep hearing Adkinson doesn't come to the South end, but I personally know of numerous events and times he has been down here. I know people who have attended two of his personal events in SoWal, one just last week. Also, I saw him down this was being taken to businesses and introduced. Looks to me like he is trying to reach out to SoWal.
As for the poll, if those numbers are accurate, I hope everyone sees the only choice to vote for if we truly want Johnson beat.
As for the poll, if those numbers are accurate, I hope everyone sees the only choice to vote for if we truly want Johnson beat.
Beach Fanatic
Since I cannot get an answer on the other races, I think the whole thing is a plant by some obvious Adkinson supporters to scare us into voting for him just to get rid of Johnson. Would have been more effective to show Johnson ahead with Adkinson right behind, but too late now.
Would have been more effective to show Johnson ahead with Adkinson right behind, but too late now.Beach Comber
I keep hearing Adkinson doesn't come to the South end, but I personally know of numerous events and times he has been down here. I know people who have attended two of his personal events in SoWal, one just last week. Also, I saw him down this was being taken to businesses and introduced. Looks to me like he is trying to reach out to SoWal.
As for the poll, if those numbers are accurate, I hope everyone sees the only choice to vote for if we truly want Johnson beat.
I believe his wife, Erin is actually employed in the South End in Rosemary, and making the commute everyday. If Mike's wife is in South Walton every day, I can be certain he is concerned with public safety there. Based on the individual financial support his campaign has gain in the South, I must assume he has made some face to face contact.
Beach Comber
Since I cannot get an answer on the other races, I think the whole thing is a plant by some obvious Adkinson supporters to scare us into voting for him just to get rid of Johnson.
I too have seen the same poll as Interested Girl, and to answer your question.
District 5 = Jones
District 2= Jones Sorry the actual percentages escape me at the moment.
And believe what you will, but this was actually done by a developer. And so far I cant find them as a donater to anyone as of yet.
Beach Fanatic
You guys and girls are really into conspiracy theories. I am sorry I missed your question Idelwind - I was busy dealing with a "red chicklett" from someone else.
The poll was paid for by the developer that constantly runs polls. He has not given money to any candidate that I can find, but who knows.
The D4 race showed Cuchens winning the race.
The D5 race showed:
Jones - 1st in North / 4th in South
Hudson - 2nd in North /tie in south
Osborne - 3rd in noth/tie in south
Osborne and Hudson cannot win unless we double the turn out in Precinct 29 and 18.
Larry Jones by 21
Here is the problem - on Saturday 153 people voted - only 58 from Southern pecints.
The poll was paid for by the developer that constantly runs polls. He has not given money to any candidate that I can find, but who knows.
The D4 race showed Cuchens winning the race.
The D5 race showed:
Jones - 1st in North / 4th in South
Hudson - 2nd in North /tie in south
Osborne - 3rd in noth/tie in south
Osborne and Hudson cannot win unless we double the turn out in Precinct 29 and 18.
Larry Jones by 21
Here is the problem - on Saturday 153 people voted - only 58 from Southern pecints.
Edited
Beach Fanatic
So...why the h does a developer care who the Sheriff is, much less spend money on a ridiculous poll to find out?
Beach Fanatic
Most suppot all but they can save money by knowing who is most likely going to win or how to direct a cmpign strategy so that the chosen one will win.
Nothing rediculous about it if you ask me.
Knowledge is power. The Sheriff in a county actually has more power than a commissioner. They can't arrest you.
Nothing rediculous about it if you ask me.
Knowledge is power. The Sheriff in a county actually has more power than a commissioner. They can't arrest you.
Edited
Beach LoverAuthor
You guys and girls are really into conspiracy theories. I am sorry I missed your question Idelwind - I was busy dealing with a "red chicklett" from someone else.
The poll was paid for by the developer that constantly runs polls. He has not given money to any candidate that I can find, but who knows.
The D4 race showed Cuchens winning the race.
The D5 race showed:
Jones - 1st in North / 4th in South
Hudson - 2nd in North /tie in south
Osborne - 3rd in noth/tie in south
Osborne and Hudson cannot win unless we double the turn out in Precinct 29 and 18.
Larry Jones by 21
Here is the problem - on Saturday 153 people voted - only 58 from Southern pecints.
More evidence that the north-end will decide the primary this time. Like I've been suggusting all along... just wait and see, people.
Beach Fanatic
You guys and girls are really into conspiracy theories. I am sorry I missed your question Idelwind - I was busy dealing with a "red chicklett" from someone else.
The poll was paid for by the developer that constantly runs polls. He has not given money to any candidate that I can find, but who knows.
The D4 race showed Cuchens winning the race.
The D5 race showed:
Jones - 1st in North / 4th in South
Hudson - 2nd in North /tie in south
Osborne - 3rd in noth/tie in south
Osborne and Hudson cannot win unless we double the turn out in Precinct 29 and 18.
Larry Jones by 21
Here is the problem - on Saturday 153 people voted - only 58 from Southern pecints.
Thank you for responding.
I am pleased about the D-3 figure, I had heard other polling data that suggested a closer race. 
Dismayed about the D-5 results although I still have faith that SoWal will turn out when this becomes common knowledge. What was the North/South break on the Sheriff's race?Beach Fanatic
Geez I just don't remember well enough to make an accurate listing. I do remember that precinct 29 is what gives it to Adkinson.
I do remember another interesting fact - Jimmy Macon polled higher than Wise and Brown. Really blew me away.
I do remember another interesting fact - Jimmy Macon polled higher than Wise and Brown. Really blew me away.
Beach Comber
Most suppot all but they can save money by knowing who is most likely going to win or how to direct a cmpign strategy so that the chosen one will win.
Nothing rediculous about it if you ask me.
Knowledge is power. The Sheriff in a county actually has more power than a commissioner. They can't arrest you.
If you are eluding a Sheriff can't be arrested, you are incorrect. There have been many Florida Sheriff's arrested - former Broward Sheriff Ken Jenne is the most recent example that no Sheriff is above the law. I don't think your "power" analogy is correct either. A Sheriff that doesn't have the backing of county commissioners is ineffective.
Beach Fanatic
Never meant to imply a Sheriff was abouve arrest. It happens .
I have never heard of a commissioner arresting anyone. But a SHeriff can arrest anyone anytime.
I have never heard of a commissioner arresting anyone. But a SHeriff can arrest anyone anytime.
Beach Fanatic
Last Ditch Effort
First things first, show us the poll. You can't and you won't because this rumor has been going around for two weeks now. There is no poll. No, I will not shut up until I see the poll. Polls cost $$$ and no one has listed this on the contribution expense, if so, show me.
This is yet another silly attempt to maintain falling support.
I call B.S. until you prove otherwise.
Was this done by Blue?;-)
Atkinson 29 percent
Johnson 19 percent
Cooper 9 percent
margin of error 4.7 percent - 21 percent undecided
Poll completed 1 week ago
Last I saw
First things first, show us the poll. You can't and you won't because this rumor has been going around for two weeks now. There is no poll. No, I will not shut up until I see the poll. Polls cost $$$ and no one has listed this on the contribution expense, if so, show me.
This is yet another silly attempt to maintain falling support.
I call B.S. until you prove otherwise.
Was this done by Blue?;-)
Beach Fanatic
Switch Hitter
As I have heard, many "original" Adkisson supporter are jumping ship. The real truth has come out and they are looking for another candidate. I did.
Interested Girl,
Thanks. Looks good for Adkinson, uh? Way good!!
A ten percent lead seems like a big lead in such a crowded race. Really Big!!
As I have heard, many "original" Adkisson supporter are jumping ship. The real truth has come out and they are looking for another candidate. I did.
Beach Fanatic
I am with Watcher, this is bogus. I was giving benefit of the doubt because I do not know people or travel in many areas of the county.
But # 29 is the Miramar box and there is no way you can convince me that Adkinson is running ahead of Cooper and Johnson in that box.:nono1: I have talked to too many people, saw too many signs on private property and remember who did well there in the past to believe that.
So I toss the D-5 results as well and continue to encourage SoWal voters to turn out. We need to keep a SoWal voice.
But # 29 is the Miramar box and there is no way you can convince me that Adkinson is running ahead of Cooper and Johnson in that box.:nono1: I have talked to too many people, saw too many signs on private property and remember who did well there in the past to believe that. So I toss the D-5 results as well and continue to encourage SoWal voters to turn out. We need to keep a SoWal voice.Checking your forum account
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