Kurt avatar
Admin
68,250 views1
Keeping an eye on him. 5-day track (image updates regularly):




During emergencies it's critical to have eyes on the ground from locals who know what's going on, and comforting to have it all in one place. Our staff and members receive, gather and disseminate information from multiple sources such as the Walton County Sheriff's office, the South Walton Fire District, local media, and other regional and national authorites. We monotor their sites, Facebook pages, Twitter feeds, as well as receiving direct text messages and email alerts.

We are watching closely and If necessary we'll have an entire forum dedicated to Isaac or any other event with storm reports, links, discussion, photos and more critical information. We usually watch closely and calmly until a storm enters the gulf. But please remeber you should always make preparations to protect your life and property.

Keep an eye on conditions on our live beachcams at www.SoWal.com/beachcams.

Useful links:
http://www.floridadisaster.org
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/prepare/ready.php
http://www.wunderground.com/tropical
http://www.waltonso.org
http://www.swfd.org

Edited

Replies

288
Kurt avatar
AdminAuthor
#2
Computer models:

Kurt avatar
AdminAuthor
#3
Ensemble computer models:

Kurt avatar
AdminAuthor
#4
Satellite

Banned
#5
wow i was just looking . This isn't looking good. maybe not a near direct hit but definitely its going to effect us.
Will B avatar
Moderator
#61
You need to update your map!!

I think this is far more accurate!!

TS Isaac.jpg
Arkiehawg avatar
Beach Fanatic
#71
wow i was just looking . This isn't looking good. maybe not a near direct hit but definitely its going to effect us.

The GFS model at 1pm today seems to want a direct hit on SoWal.....
I blame Huckabee....:cool:
Beach Lover
#8
Im sure the models will shift again after they have the data from the NOAA G-IV plugged into the model runs tonight. Lets hope so anyway, were coming down in a few weeks.
Just_In_Thyme avatar
Beach Lover
#9
Let's hope it keeps drifting west of us. It looks like we are going to to storm surge and beach erosion for sure.
smoore21 avatar
Beach Comber
#10
Hate to see this.....hoping that it doesn't hit near SoWal!
Beach Lover
#11
Hey group. Thanks for the update. Looks like they have picked us and I hope that means they are wrong. Have they ever been correct on their pick 100%? If they are, when do you guys start boarding up windows or putting up your shutters? I just bought a home and they are in the basement, but it looks like they have never been used. No pegs. Not sure I should travel down to attempt to install. I have renters in place until Monday.
Arkiehawg avatar
Beach Fanatic
#12
Hey group. Thanks for the update. Looks like they have picked us and I hope that means they are wrong. Have they ever been correct on their pick 100%? If they are, when do you guys start boarding up windows or putting up your shutters? I just bought a home and they are in the basement, but it looks like they have never been used. No pegs. Not sure I should travel down to attempt to install. I have renters in place until Monday.

Accuracy on the forecast is fairly good about 72hours out. Stating that, the models seem to be fairly consistent with a Northern Gulf landfall. A lot of things have to fall in place for Isaac to visit us within 100 miles each way. Regarding shuttering. IMO, I would wait till Monday at the earliest. Current project for our target area is next Wed. That gives you plenty of time without the worries of heavy winds/rain. Trust me it isn't fun to board up with high winds... I would recommend keeping a vigilant watch this weekend and if we are still in the tight track by Monday, start your preparations. Also, now is the time to plan any evacuation and your hurricane kit if you haven't already done so.....Remember to stock up on plenty of water and plan on little to no assistance in the first 72 hours...
Just_In_Thyme avatar
Beach Lover
#13
There is a lot of time for this thing to move east or west of us. The good news is they are only predicting it to be a Cat 1 when it comes ashore.
Arkiehawg avatar
Beach Fanatic
#14
There is a lot of time for this thing to move east or west of us. The good news is they are only predicting it to be a Cat 1 when it comes ashore.

I wouldn't put a lot of belief in that Cat 1 statement currently from NHC. They aren't the greatest at forecasting intensity. Pretty good at projected path though. Wouldn't be a bit surprised if that Cat 1 ends up much higher...
Banned
#15
Just looked at 11 am nhc and its now shifted right over us. Last few days its been shifting west so its projected to hit wed so still a lot of time
Beach Comber
#16
I have reservations on Sept 5 for about 10 days and we are wondering if this storm hits as it's projected, what will the water be like at that time of Sept 5? Anyone have any past experiences or ideas? thanks a lot!!

Edited

lenzoe avatar
Beach Fanatic
#17
After a storm it's usually beautiful.
Beach Runner avatar
beats on hood
#18
I have reservations on Sept 5 for about 10 days and we are wondering if this storm hits as it's projected, what will the water be like at that time of Sept 5? Anyone have any past experiences or ideas? thanks a lot!!
We have driven down for the past 10 years after every storm to check on our house and my sister's houses. We always have a great time. So come on down!

If the storm hits in South Walton, we'll drive down as soon as we hear there are no closed roads or bridges and there's power.

From my experience the water might still be rough, so hope you have access to a pool.
beachma avatar
Beach Lover
#19
We're flying in from St. Louis tomorrow morning...have reservations in Seagrove for 9 days. Where do tourists go if there is a mandatory evacuation? Should I make hotel reservations somewhere north for "plan B" or do the rental companies have contingency plans in place to move people? Thanks!
Beach Runner avatar
beats on hood
#20
We're flying in from St. Louis tomorrow morning...have reservations in Seagrove for 9 days. Where do tourists go if there is a mandatory evacuation? Should I make hotel reservations somewhere north for "plan B" or do the rental companies have contingency plans in place to move people? Thanks!
Well, first of all you need to know that if there are sustained winds of 40 mph or over, the bridges close. There's no way to leave without crossing a bridge. If that's the case, rental companies will advise you to get out of dodge due to liability, and owners want you out of their rentals because they don't want to be liable. Each rental company has its own refund policy, so I'd check with them.

As far as plan B goes, ask what they'd suggest. If South Walton gets a hit, the question is how far north do you go? When Opal came through, it hit Georgia too. We have a Louisiana-style house in GA with functional hurricane shutters. WE NEEDED THEM.
30A Skunkape avatar
Skunky
#21
They just made Jim Cantorre cough up $5 to park in Seaside. :twisted:
Kurt avatar
AdminAuthor
#22
Currently, the Walton County Emergency Operations Center (EOC) is at a Level 3. This means we are monitoring the situation and staying abreast of the weather conditions.


Twice a day, meetings are held via webinar with State EOC officials. The current weather situation is discussed, and members throughout the state of Florida discuss actions that each county is taking in preparation of the storm.


The Walton County EOC will continue to stay at Level 3 and will be on standby this weekend watching the forecast models. As conditions change, the press and public will be notified of Level status changes.


The WCSO has opened up a Tropical Storm Isaac Citizen Information Hotline. Citizens may call in with their questions about the storm to these numbers: 850-892-8392 and 850-892-8394. No shelters have been opened at this time.


The public is encouraged to be prepared, no matter what. Food, water, and batteries are good to have in stock in any situation, as this is Florida and weather can change in the blink of an eye.


Citizens and visitors to Walton County can keep up with the latest information by visiting www.waltonso.org; www.facebook.com/waltonalert and www.facebook.com/waltoncountysheriff
Jdarg avatar
SoWal Expert
#23
They just made Jim Cantorre cough up $5 to park in Seaside. :twisted:

:lol: Yesssss! I will make him some Dargaritas if he shows up!
Arkiehawg avatar
Beach Fanatic
#24
They just made Jim Cantorre cough up $5 to park in Seaside. :twisted:

Luv ya Skunky...made my day!


BTW, I miss Jason for these events. The local mets on ABC and CBS SUCK..... That is all

Now back to Wunderground

Edited

30A Skunkape avatar
Skunky
#25
:lol: Yesssss! I will make him some Dargaritas if he shows up!

Looters will B shot but Cantorre can shoot tequila. Cat 1 everyone; if you're the panicking type, leave or don't come, but this will not be a big deal life or limb wise. If I was a tourist I would stay away because we will almost certainly lose power and restaurants/stores will be closed. No AC in August sucks.
jpbhen avatar
Beach Fanatic
#26
Looters will B shot but Cantorre can shoot tequila. Cat 1 everyone; if you're the panicking type, leave or don't come, but this will not be a big deal life or limb wise. If I was a tourist I would stay away because we will almost certainly lose power and restaurants/stores will be closed. No AC in August sucks.

thanks for all of the tips and advice. we are heading home tomorrow after an extended stay with grandma this summer. mr. beachangel is leaving on a biz trip on tuesday morning, so i am a bit nervous about the prospect of being evacuated - alone - with 3 cats! staying home during a cat 1 sounds about my speed - i think i can handle that. i'll keep watching this thread for info and ideas. i'm picking up extra supplies here to bring with me, since by the time we arrive the shelves might be empty. yikes!

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