I need advice from you...
We have cottage reservations, flights, rental car, etc., all beginning this Sunday morning - - right when this t.s. will be upgraded to a hurricane with expected landfall somewhere thru the panhandle, give or take a couple hundred miles. We have the delimma of going ahead and canceling everything and loosing the $$$$$ (which is substantial) or waiting it out to the very last minute. I guess this is a "no brainer" but....
Stay safe to all of you there ~
Replies
272chrisv
chrisvBeach FanaticFreeport, Florida630 postsJoined View profileMessageBeach Fanatic
Yeah, I'd say winds are steady at 20-25, gusting to 35 here on the north side of the bay. Steady rain. Water in the bayou is very low, my boat is swinging around because of all the scope I have in the lines in prep for the surge.
Smiling JOe
Smiling JOeSoWal Expert31,643 postsJoined View profileMessageSoWal Expert
You better buckle down ChrisV. Good luck on you.
RiverOtter
RiverOttergot any pics?Chattanooga, Tennessee, United States11,444 postsJoined View profileMessagegot any pics?
I just remembered that I am supposed to go out of town middle of next week 😱 OOPS!
Fine time to remember that 😀
RiverOtter
RiverOttergot any pics?Chattanooga, Tennessee, United States11,444 postsJoined View profileMessagegot any pics?
Water in the bayou is very low, my boat is swinging around because of all the scope I have in the lines in prep for the surge.
Is the water low because it's been sucked out to sea?
Smiling JOe
Smiling JOeSoWal Expert31,643 postsJoined View profileMessageSoWal Expert
Fine time to remember that 😀I have been a little distacted.
RiverOtter
RiverOttergot any pics?Chattanooga, Tennessee, United States11,444 postsJoined View profileMessagegot any pics?
I have been a little distacted.
I woke up hoping ... actually praying ... for a better storm track but.... it's not looking so good. I hope you are on somewhat high ground :!:
Kurt
KurtAdminSoWal2,470 postsJoined View profileMessageAdmin

Miss Kitty
Miss KittyMeow47,011 postsJoined View profileMessageMeow
Who has stayed behind to stick their tongues out at Dennis? I'm praying for you all. As my son says..."This sucks!" I'm also sending out a prayer to the trees, animals, and beaches. I'd rather lose all our belongings (we do have insurance) in our unit. We can replace that stuff. For all who have had their vacation plans ruined...come back when you can...30-A Rules! This message board is the best! STAY SAFE!
RiverOtter
RiverOttergot any pics?Chattanooga, Tennessee, United States11,444 postsJoined View profileMessagegot any pics?
Noaa still has AL getting slammed :idontno:


SlowMovinSlowMovinBeach Fanatic483 postsJoined View profileMessageBeach Fanatic
Looks like it started heading more northerly. That's bad news for us. I was originally only worried about the water (we're on a bayou here in Freeport) or the occasional tornado/gust...now we might have to start worrying about sustained wind, too.
Disclaimer--This is based only on my reading of satellite images...don't take it as gospel.
Disclaimer--This is based only on my reading of satellite images...don't take it as gospel.
RiverOtter
RiverOttergot any pics?Chattanooga, Tennessee, United States11,444 postsJoined View profileMessagegot any pics?
Looks like it started heading more northerly. That's bad news for us. I was originally only worried about the water (we're on a bayou here in Freeport) or the occasional tornado/gust...now we might have to start worrying about sustained wind, too.
Disclaimer--This is based only on my reading of satellite images...don't take it as gospel.
:welcome: Give us updates as long as you're able. Glad to have ya aboard. :cool:
cpete
cpeteBeach LoverAustin, Tx115 postsJoined View profileMessageBeach Lover
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/gmex-ir4-loop.html
I'm no expert but from those last few frames it looks like it jogs closer to you guys. Keep your heade down!
I'm no expert but from those last few frames it looks like it jogs closer to you guys. Keep your heade down!
SlowMovinSlowMovinBeach Fanatic483 postsJoined View profileMessageBeach Fanatic
:welcome: Give us updates as long as you're able. Glad to have ya aboard. :cool:
"All things considered, I'd rather be in Philadelphia."
--W.C. Fields
Just_In_Thyme
Just_In_ThymeBeach LoverAtlanta and Seagrove198 postsJoined View profileMessageBeach Lover
weather channel is showing a jog more to the north, predicting landfall between Pensacola and Destin. Navy website, http://www.ih2000.net/ira/bmt-wth.htm still show it heading towards Pensacola/Mobile. TV is showing rough surf at Destin.
Travel2MuchTravel2MuchBeach Lover159 postsJoined View profileMessageBeach Lover
weather channel is showing a jog more to the north, predicting landfall between Pensacola and Destin. Navy website, http://www.ih2000.net/ira/bmt-wth.htm still show it heading towards Pensacola/Mobile. TV is showing rough surf at Destin.
The NHC's 8am CDT report says it is travelling north now, but that it is expected to resume a N-NW route later on today, which would explain the Pensacola/Mobile landfall theory.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT4+shtml/101056.shtml
JB
JBBeach FanaticTuscaloosa1,445 postsJoined View profileMessageBeach Fanatic
If there is any positive to be gleaned from this, it's that Dennis seems to be a more compact storm than Ivan.
With that in mind, my question is, if it hits basically the same spot as Ivan did, does that mean the storm surge will not extend as far?
I am curious as to what y'all think the storm surge will be in Walton County? IMO, seven feet or less *might* me managable. Anything more than that and I am worried the beaches may never fully recover.
With that in mind, my question is, if it hits basically the same spot as Ivan did, does that mean the storm surge will not extend as far?
I am curious as to what y'all think the storm surge will be in Walton County? IMO, seven feet or less *might* me managable. Anything more than that and I am worried the beaches may never fully recover.
dustydustyBeach Lover107 postsJoined View profileMessageBeach Lover
9:50 am EST: The Weather Channel's hurricane expert: "Cape San Blas and Appalach are safe; also Panama City-- the core is past you; Destin, can't rule it out yet but looks like the core will be west of you."
(Still looks like it's headed for the Mobile/Pensacola region). He pointed out high sustained winds in the 50-55 mph range for Cape San Blas.
(Still looks like it's headed for the Mobile/Pensacola region). He pointed out high sustained winds in the 50-55 mph range for Cape San Blas.
chrisv
chrisvBeach FanaticFreeport, Florida630 postsJoined View profileMessageBeach Fanatic
Slow Movin, I'm on Mallet Bayou, where are you?
hutch
hutchBeach LoverOn the Bay Walton County, Lake Burton189 postsJoined View profileMessageBeach Lover
North of the bay (Sandestin Area) the winds are out of the NE at 45MPH. Bay is starting to get rough, waves for surfing. Water still not above docks yet! Surge should be some time this afternoon 1:00- 3:00PM. Power here has gone off 2X and back on and we are going to be losing it soon. Worried about the surge on the bay and flooding. I am taking pictures of the bay and storm and will post later.
Later the hutch
Later the hutch
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