Hurricane Nate

Projected to become TS/H NATE. And next week starts the Atlanta area Fall break. Could get interesting here.

Jim Cantore stay away from BMB......

Kurt, anyone.

We are headed down tomorrow to SRB. What would you advise? Staying Thurs through Monday. Please let me know as I value the locals opinions.

Thanks

Kurt, anyone.

We are headed down tomorrow to SRB. What would you advise? Staying Thurs through Monday. Please let me know as I value the locals opinions.

Thanks

Hard to say so early but If you come be prepared to leave. If evacuation coincides with Saturday checkouts it's going to be jammed. A lot of people are here on Fall break.

First, I would follow "Mike's Weather Page" on Facebook. His website is www.spaghettimodels.com.

Second, just saw where they have canceled this year's Destin Seafood Festival Approaching storm cancels Destin Seafood Festival.

Third, models show it to be at hurricane strength at landfall.

It's not so much the storm I'd worry about, but instead it's the lack of infrastructure (roads), and non existent storm water plan in SoWal to contend with.

If tourons leave Sat AM along with evacs it will be a nightmare.

All the DOT road work on 98 won't help either.

It's not so much the storm I'd worry about, but instead it's the lack of infrastructure (roads), and non existent storm water plan in SoWal to contend with.

If tourons leave Sat AM along with evacs it will be a nightmare.

All the DOT road work on 98 won't help either.

Are you referring to road work on 98 in western Walton County? I was there last night and didn't notice anything that would be a problem.

Most likely evac would be on 331. Think the conversation was about 331 construction.

Thanks all. Still not sure. Guess I will keep watching.

Thanks all. Still not sure. Guess I will keep watching.

Regardless of where Nate makes landfall, the weather forecasts for SRB are looking bad for the weekend and into early Monday.

Advisory from Pcola...

Pensacola, FL is under a Tropical Storm Watch and is expected to receive a minor impact from Tropical Storm Nate.
The forecast maximum wind for this location has increased since the last forecast advisory by 42 MPH

Southeasterly gale force winds should start affecting the area on Sunday, October 8th at 4 AM CDT. The highest wind speeds from Tropical Storm Nate should occur near 5 AM CDT when top sustained winds, from the South, could reach 42 MPH with gusts near 51 MPH. Winds should decrease below gale force shortly thereafter.

Sustained winds will fall below gale force after 7 AM CDT and generally be from the North during this period of decreasing winds. Expect gusts above gale force level for several more hours thereafter.
Some minor residential wind damage may occur from Tropical Storm Nate in Pensacola.

The total rainfall for the Pensacola area over the next 5 days is forecast to be 2.9 inches. This can vary significantly as tropical storm and hurricane rainfall is very difficult to predict.
The astronomical tidal variation for this location is less than 2 feet.

P'Cola - Destin now under Hurricane Watch..little drifted back East...Mobile under Hurricane Warning..

Is it just me or has the County NOT put out updated statements?

Its 1942 hours and no updates on the sites???

National Media has us in a TS Warning Zone.

Is my PC slow?

God bless you all, and keep you safe!

We left yesterday to avoid any crush of possible evacuees. So glad we did. Everyone stay safe!

Hurricane Nate Makes Landfall Near The Mouth Of The Mississippi River




1 p.m., CT advisory, the National Hurricane Center said the storm was located about 100 miles south of the mouth of the Mississippi River and headed north-northwest at 25 mph. It had maximum sustained winds of 90 mph.

mandatory evacuation, as are parts of New Orleans. Other parts of southeastern Louisiana are voluntary evacuation areas. Edwards said emergency shelters are open in every parish where evacuations have been called.

"It is critical that everyone told to evacuate do it now," Edwards said at the noon briefing, local time Saturday. He said that three-quarters of hurricane fatalities are caused by water and that motorists could be fooled by deceptively deep water.

A mandatory curfew begins at 7 p.m. Saturday in New Orleans and lasts "until the risk has passed," said the city police department in a statement.

Officials in Mississippi recommended evacuations for all low-lying areas and for people living near waterways and in mobile homes.

Meantime, Hurricane Nate has put the central Gulf economy at a standstill, NPR's Debbie Elliott reports for Weekend All Things Considered.

"Not only are businesses closing and boarding up, but shipping and oil and gas production is halted. The U.S. Coast Guard has closed all the major ports in the region — including New Orleans, Gulfport, Pascagoula, Mobile and Pensacola," Debbie says.

The hurricane response team at the federal Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement issued a statement saying that offshore oil and gas operators in the Gulf of Mexico have evacuated platforms and rigs in response to Hurricane Nate. Personnel from some 301 production platforms (40.84 percent of the 737 manned platforms in the Gulf of Mexico) have been evacuated.

The statement says:
"From operator reports, it is estimated that approximately 92.34 percent of the current oil production in the Gulf of Mexico has been shut-in, which equates to 1,615,966 barrels of oil per day. It is also estimated that approximately 77.01 percent of the natural gas production, or 2,479.64 million cubic feet per day in the Gulf of Mexico has been shut-in."

Facilities will be inspected after the storm has passed.

On Friday, President Trump approved an emergency declaration for Louisiana, authorizing the Department of Homeland Security and the Federal Emergency Management Agency to coordinate relief efforts.

The governors of Florida, Alabama and Mississippi have all declared states of emergency ahead of the storm.

"Regardless of where the storm makes actual landfall, we face the possibility of widespread power outages and storm surge flooding," Mississippi Gov. Phil Bryant said in a statement. "I ask everyone to please have a plan, especially those that live in mobile homes and low-lying areas."

Earlier in the week, Nate was a weaker tropical storm, but heavy wind and rain and subsequent flooding were blamed for several deaths in Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Honduras and El Salvador.

NPR's Debbie Elliott and Maquita Peters contributed to this report.

Copyright 2017 NPR. To see more, visit NPR.

The northern eyewall of Hurricane Nate moving onto the coast of Mississippi and Alabama at 11:23 pm CDT Saturday, October 7, 2017. The south side of Nate’s eye was largely devoid of showers and thunderstorms.

Hurricane Nate made its first U.S. landfall near the mouth of the Mississippi River at around 7 pm CDT Saturday as a Category 1 hurricane. Packing top sustained winds of 85 mph, Nate pushed a compact zone of strong wind and torrential rain onshore across coastal Mississippi and Alabama, just east of its center. Fortunately, Nate never developed a complete, mature eyewall. Had that happened on Friday night, Nate could have rapidly strengthened well into the Category 2 intensity range. Nate is the ninth consecutive Atlantic hurricane of 2017—the most Atlantic hurricanes to occur in a row since 1893. Nate is also the fourth hurricane to reach U.S. shores in the last seven weeks, including Maria’s catastrophic landfall on Puerto Rico as the devastating hits from Harvey in Texas and Irma in Florida.

Staying at Gulf Place while we search for a new condo. Doesn't seem that bad.

It was a little bit more than I expected. Maybe some 35-40 mph winds. And it's lasting longer than expected too. Since it is the first real storm, around here, since 2005, I believe I may be a little rusty on my hurricane skills.