goofer
gooferBeach Fanatic1,165 postsJoined View profileMessageBeach Fanatic
12,025 views
The action of the housing stocks (joe, kbh, tol, bzh, dhi, hov, phm, ctx ) is telling us the Fed is finished raising rates. The market is also telling us that there will be a recovery in housing in the spring of 2007. The next major move in rates is DOWN. The Fed's work of the last 2 years raising rates has slowed the economy and tempered housing. The economic statistics will contine to deteriorate as well as the housing statistics but make no mistake about it, the recovery is coming in 2007. The Fed will begin lowering rates in the spring to generate growth. We will experience a growth rexession, which means GDP growth of 1-2%. We will NOT have a full blown recession...the FED will make sure of that. The stock market is a forecasting mechanism. The dawn is coming !!!
Replies
64redfisher
redfisherBeach Fanatic374 postsJoined View profileMessageBeach Fanatic
Just curious...Did anyone ever figure out what the msg of the stock market was?...
Edited
redfisher
Re-read post #'s 1 11 18 19 36 49
The message was you could have made a lot of money in 6 weeks buying those stocks I mentioned. The housing stocks have continued to go up. Now everyone seems to be liking them, including the "great" Jim Cramer. I just got lucky and bought them early near the bottom.
Re-read post #'s 1 11 18 19 36 49
The message was you could have made a lot of money in 6 weeks buying those stocks I mentioned. The housing stocks have continued to go up. Now everyone seems to be liking them, including the "great" Jim Cramer. I just got lucky and bought them early near the bottom.
redfisher
redfisherBeach Fanatic374 postsJoined View profileMessageBeach Fanatic
I don't need to re-read posts to know you are offly "proud" of your picks...
Smiling JOe
Smiling JOeSoWal Expert31,643 postsJoined View profileMessageSoWal Expert
redfisher
Re-read post #'s 1 11 18 19 36 49
The message was you could have made a lot of money in 6 weeks buying those stocks I mentioned. The housing stocks have continued to go up. Now everyone seems to be liking them, including the "great" Jim Cramer. I just got lucky and bought them early near the bottom.
Better begin thinking about selling them.
SJ
Read post 50.
Redfisher
I am proud of my picks. And, oh boy the way thank you for your congratulations. Quite gentlemanly of you !! ;-)
Read post 50.
Redfisher
I am proud of my picks. And, oh boy the way thank you for your congratulations. Quite gentlemanly of you !! ;-)
iqueequeg
iqueequegBeach LoverSnowy Boston102 postsJoined View profileMessageBeach Lover
I don't need to re-read posts to know you are offly "proud" of your picks...
My interest was peaked by the word offly, which gave me pause until a realized you meant "awfully".
For many years, my sister thought the expression "dog eat dog world" was "doggie dog world".
Check out the archive of misheard lyrics. http://www.kissthisguy.com/ From Smash Mouth "All star"
real lyrics:
She was looking kinda dumb with her finger and her thumb
in the shape of an "L" on her forehead.
misheard as:
She was looking kinda dumb with her finger in her bum
and the shape of a elf on her forehead.
Mango
MangoSoWal InsiderNew York/ Santa Rosa Beach9,699 postsJoined View profileMessageSoWal Insider
SJ
Read post 50.
Redfisher
I am proud of my picks. And, oh boy the way thank you for your congratulations. Quite gentlemanly of you !! ;-)
BTW, I am "awfully" proud of your picks!:clap_1: I think Shelly would even give you a ^5. When in my neck of the woods, please feel free to stop by and review my portfolio and make suggestions:wub:
Sandcastle
SandcastleBeach FanaticTallahassee, Florida342 postsJoined View profileMessageBeach Fanatic
Congratulations!!!:clap_1: :clap_1: :clap_1:
Bobby J
Bobby JBeach FanaticBlue Mountain beach4,041 postsJoined View profileMessageBeach Fanatic
The action of the housing stocks (joe, kbh, tol, bzh, dhi, hov, phm, ctx ) is telling us the Fed is finished raising rates. The market is also telling us that there will be a recovery in housing in the spring of 2007. The next major move in rates is DOWN. The Fed's work of the last 2 years raising rates has slowed the economy and tempered housing. The economic statistics will contine to deteriorate as well as the housing statistics but make no mistake about it, the recovery is coming in 2007. The Fed will begin lowering rates in the spring to generate growth. We will experience a growth rexession, which means GDP growth of 1-2%. We will NOT have a full blown recession...the FED will make sure of that. The stock market is a forecasting mechanism. The dawn is coming !!!
WoW! Goofer you were right on here!!!!!:clap_1:
JellyfishJellyfishBeach LoverAtlanta89 postsJoined View profileMessageBeach Lover
Speaking of homebuilders and investment climate, does this graph bother anyone? Looks scary....
http://photo.xanga.com/russwinter/f8b1c74138103/photo.html
http://photo.xanga.com/russwinter/f8b1c74138103/photo.html
flyforfun
flyforfunBeach FanaticBirmingham, Al311 postsJoined View profileMessageBeach Fanatic
Sure hope you are correct with your prediction or at least give me a glass of what ever you are drinking! I know you would not be were you are at today without some fundamental knowledge on the subject, and glad you are going to be my neighbor. Enjoyed meeting you during the WS HOA this past weekend. Next time your down, I would like hear more of your encouraging thoughts and ideas :clap_1: .....:shock:
Edited
redfisher
redfisherBeach Fanatic374 postsJoined View profileMessageBeach Fanatic
Goldilocks...
redfisher
redfisherBeach Fanatic374 postsJoined View profileMessageBeach Fanatic
Goldilocks...
What was that message again?
Edited
seacliffes
seacliffesBeach LoverTangomar139 postsJoined View profileMessageBeach Lover
What was that message again?
You nailed that one!!!
Marty
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