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SC Exit Poll Highlights

InletBchDweller avatar
SoWal Insider
879 views
Read this today.
I dont want to "taint" another thread so I made a new one...:cool:




SC Exit Poll Highlights

By The Associated Press ? 16 hours ago
Some highlights of data from exit polls conducted for The Associated Press and television networks in the South Carolina Democratic primary Saturday. All numbers are final.
___
DIVIDED BY RACE
Black voters dominated the South Carolina primary and voted overwhelmingly for Barack Obama, with 78 percent supporting him. Nineteen percent of blacks voted for Hillary Rodham Clinton. While a quarter of whites voted for Obama, three-quarters of whites split their votes between the two white candidates, Clinton and John Edwards, voting 40 percent for Edwards and 36 percent for Clinton. Edwards' support came almost entirely from white voters.
___
WOMEN: RACE OVER GENDER
In the historic battle that pitted a black man against a white woman, the question on many minds was how black women would vote. They went overwhelmingly for the black man, in the same eight in 10 proportions as black men. Nearly all the rest voted for Clinton.
Clinton wasn't even able to win a majority of white women, a group she split with 42 percent of the vote. Edwards won 36 percent of white women, while Obama won 22 percent of them. Edwards easily won among white men, getting 45 percent of their vote compared to 28 percent for Clinton and 27 percent for Obama.


REST OF ARTICLE:

http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5g-mb4b3T9hE_91fQD51y46cNreKQD8UDV3000

Replies

19
Jdarg avatar
SoWal Expert
#2
Statistics are interesting, but was there a particular something that you wanted to point out?:idontno:
NoHall avatar
hmmmm......can't remember
#3
I'm not sure if it's interesting or surprising that 42% of white women voted for Hillary...then again, I'm not sure what I would do if I were a democrat...I still wish Condi was on the GOP ticket.
hnooe avatar
Beach Fanatic
#4
I'm not sure if it's interesting or surprising that 42% of white women voted for Hillary...then again, I'm not sure what I would do if I were a democrat...I still wish Condi was on the GOP ticket.

Condi???. Please, dear Lord, tell me that is a joke.

She has been nothing but a photo-op for the last 8 years. She will be merely just a foot note to W's "unique" legacy.
John R avatar
needs to get out more
#5
I still wish Condi was on the GOP ticket.

really? seriously? honestly, I don't think she'd stand a chance, imo.
InletBchDweller avatar
SoWal InsiderAuthor
#6
Statistics are interesting, but was there a particular something that you wanted to point out?:idontno:

yes, all of it.
Beach Lover
#7
What no one talks about, What republicans love, and what many dems are afraid of, is this..... There is a whole bunch of people in this country who will never vote for a black, OR a woman! Dumb people will vote against their own self interests for racial superiority, and when it comes to women, Even women will not vote for one! I hope I am wrong on this, but republicans are secretly smiling!
Beach Fanatic
#8
I'm not sure if it's interesting or surprising that 42% of white women voted for Hillary...then again, I'm not sure what I would do if I were a democrat...I still wish Condi was on the GOP ticket.

If this is a serious post, could you please expand on your thoughts?
wrobert avatar
Beach Fanatic
#9
I hope I am wrong on this, but republicans are secretly smiling!

Could you source this information? I go to a lot of meetings throughout the State and that has not been my experience lately.
JustaLocal avatar
Beach Fanatic
#10
What no one talks about, What republicans love, and what many dems are afraid of, is this..... There is a whole bunch of people in this country who will never vote for a black, OR a woman! Dumb people will vote against their own self interests for racial superiority, and when it comes to women, Even women will not vote for one! I hope I am wrong on this, but republicans are secretly smiling!

In my experience, most "dumb people" don't vote.
hnooe avatar
Beach Fanatic
#13
Oh, I don't know, some might disagree:

http://static.scribd.com/docs/4rv82so7lpgh6.swf?INITIAL_VIEW=width:funn:

Good point.:floor: I remember waaaaaay back in Poli Sci 101 at UNC that about 5% of all people entering any given voting booths will vote on the basis of who is the first candidate listed on the ballot sheet.

Yea, you should always go with # 1, I guess..........
Teresa avatar
SoWal Guide
#14
Condi???. Please, dear Lord, tell me that is a joke.

She has been nothing but a photo-op for the last 8 years. She will be merely just a foot note to W's "unique" legacy.



not impressed with her in the least. not even photos.
Jdarg avatar
SoWal Expert
#15
From the Washington Post article "The Balck Vote was Vital, but Not the Whole Story".

Overwhelming support from African American voters fueled Sen. Barack Obama's big win in yesterday's South Carolina Democratic primary, but he also continued to demonstrate broad appeal across racial lines, particularly among younger, better-educated and wealthier voters.

Rest of article here-

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/01/26/AR2008012602741.html?tid=informbox

And a very detailed exit poll from CNN- it is five pages long and takes a bit to slog through it, but they thought of every question and demographic!

The things that jumped out at me were Obama's appeal to the upper income and college-educated demographics, and the higher number of the people who said that the country was ready for an African-American president before a female one. Of course I never considered it in that way- are we ready for a black man or a female first? Thanks to the pollsters for putting that out there.:roll:
rapunzel avatar
Beach Fanatic
#16
not impressed with her in the least. not even photos.

She did go to Russia a few years ago and wear this fantastic coat and boots ensemble. She totally rocked it. I was impressed with her that day.

Beyond that, I think I am more insightful on matters of diplomacy with a B.A. in History and a habit of reading the paper. Condi is a yes (wo)man, and I can't imagine a worse sort of president.
Jdarg avatar
SoWal Expert
#17
She did go to Russia a few years ago and wear this fantastic coat and boots ensemble. She totally rocked it. I was impressed with her that day.

Beyond that, I think I am more insightful on matters of diplomacy with a B.A. in History and a habit of reading the paper. Condi is a yes (wo)man, and I can't imagine a worse sort of president.


Posting from the hotel 'puter? Or did the laptop rise from the dead?:idontno:
rapunzel avatar
Beach Fanatic
#18
Statistics are interesting, but was there a particular something that you wanted to point out?:idontno:

I think she was trying to point out that there are still a few prejudiced crackers in South Carolina. She's right. You do see those kinds of people, especially in the poor rural areas. Still, as an African American gentlemen outside the rally last night repeatedly said -- "this is not just a victory for black people, it's a victory for white South Carolinians, too. They've shown the rest of the country that they aren't backwards and racist." They voted for Obama, or at least weren't turning out in droves to vote against him. White people weren't galvanized into action to make sure the black guy didn't win. The times, they are a-changin'. It's a great time to be alive.

More interesting information:

The fact that electorate was more than half African-American should not obscure this number: In Greenville County, which has higher average income and a more educated populace than the statewide average and which is 78 percent white, Obama won by a resounding 22 percentage points., annihilating Clinton. From http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/22859254/page/2/​
Teresa avatar
SoWal Guide
#19
I love how Obama's victory speech was all about people of all backgrounds coming together... but no matter what we envision for America, it still must be analyzed by race and gender. I'm not complaining, I'm so glad we have this opportunity to do so with both a black man and white woman running for nomination for president.

we do like to see the polls - a force of habit - and in a state as diverse as South Carolina, it gets very interesting. what I see is that a lot of people vote on a candidate that they can relate to personally. but I also sense a lot of good change going on in America. It's too exciting.

regarding the voter stats, if you are really interested in them, you must read more and analyze further than just gender or race for real information, and it does get very interesting when you do this...

some other very interesting poll info...

http://blog.washingtonpost.com/behind-the-numbers/2008/01/behind_obamas_big_sc_win_1.html
Behind Obama's Big S.C. Win

Preview: Our story in the Sunday Post is headlined "Black Vote Vital, but Not the Whole Story." Obama was the overwhelming favorite among African American voters, and he picked up a quarter of white voters. As in previous contests, he did especially well among younger, better educated and wealthier voters. Obama also won three-quarters of "change-voters."
Half of white voters under 30 supported Obama, as did about a third of those with college degrees and those with family incomes of $100,000 or more. A breakdown of vote preferences among white voters is below, and an earlier version of the story from the exit poll is up now on The Trail.
There were fewer differences among black voters: Obama won both black men and black women by about 4 to 1, and had big margins among both younger and older African Americans.

these overall stats for the state are amazing...
South Carolina Democratic Party: More than 530,000 people participated in the Democratic presidential primary in the Palmetto State. Compare that to the 445,000 -- or so -- who voted on the Republican side last weekend. Then remember that George W. Bush won the state with 57 percent in 2000 and 58 percent in 2004, and that South Carolina's governor, two senators and four of its six House members are Republicans. Given that backdrop, the fact that 85,000 more people participated in the Democratic primary should be a huge concern for Republicans nationwide, as it would appear to be speak to a widening intensity gap between the bases of the two parties. Carol Fowler, chairwoman of the South Carolina Democratic Party, called last night's vote "a huge rejection of the Republican Party at both the federal and state level."

washingtonpost.com
For now, Obama supporters in South Carolina are relieved that he was able to achieve a victory of such proportions that it will be hard for the opposition to play it down. Many supporters were dismayed that there was even a chance that a win could be discounted on the basis of his strong backing from black voters. They noted that Obama had to work hard to win those voters, many of whom were backing Clinton only a few months ago, and that the surge in turnout was not simply a matter of identity politics, but also the result of a strong grass-roots organization.

As for Obama's weaker performance among white voters in the state, his supporters argued that this overlooked the presence of Edwards, who was born in South Carolina and who captured 40 percent of white voters but drew virtually no support among blacks.

For the Clinton campaign to try to "translate an Obama victory into a defeat, that's absurd," Joe Kelly, an English professor at the College of Charleston, said yesterday. "It really bothers me that they would do that."

The large margin of victory gave heart to those such as Mary Baise, a telecommunications saleswoman in Beaufort who hoped that the results would not be interpreted in demographic breakdowns alone.

"I hope people see that African Americans are standing beside him for who he is, not because he's African American," she said after a rally on Thursday. "I'm hoping they'll see things other than color."

Edited

Teresa avatar
SoWal Guide
#20
She did go to Russia a few years ago and wear this fantastic coat and boots ensemble. She totally rocked it. I was impressed with her that day.

Beyond that, I think I am more insightful on matters of diplomacy with a B.A. in History and a habit of reading the paper. Condi is a yes (wo)man, and I can't imagine a worse sort of president.

you are killing me!

yes on the yes-woman.

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