ECMWF: Big storm in the Atlantic later this month

August 28th is when we will be coming to the beach. But I'm not going to worry about it. Might be exciting to see a little weather from a tropical storm if it is not too bad. Don't exactly see where the system is though in this model. If that is it way to the east of Florida where the yellow and green is inside the circle then that is a good ways away.

Based on this mornings update to the ECMWF site, this storm is definitely coming to the Atlantic Seaboard. Looks like it will be moving very slowly. If it moves that slowly over the Gulf Stream it should build up a lot of strength.





http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forec...op!od!oper!public_plots!2010082200!!chart.gif

It looks like this is just going to track up the Atlantic seaboard according to the projection path map I saw a little bit ago, and it appears to be more way out at sea than near land on that map.

According to the NHC there's another disturbance behind this one.



According to the ECMWF it will follow basically the same track. (in this image the second storm is the little blob east of Bermuda. The current storm is the big blob north of that.)

The other disturbance behind Danielle is now named Earl, is 520 miles west of the Cape Verde Islands and will reach hurricane status they say by Friday, is at 40mph now, and now there is another system behind it. they say it looks to be taking a more southerly trek.

Earl's in the trunk.

Earl's in the trunk.

There is another disturbance behind Danielle and Earl and the unnamed disturbance but this next one is over Africa.

There is another disturbance behind Danielle and Earl and the 3rd disturbance but this 4th one is over Africa.

we're gonna get blasted. i know it. i can feel it.

There are a total of 4 systems in the Atlantic now. Wow.

we're gonna get blasted. i know it. i can feel it.

Looks like they are all following the same track up through the Atlantic. Here are the tracks for Aug 31-Sep 3

Looks good for us. BTW, has it been raIning down there. The radar I've seen of the northern Gulf on the Weather Channel that is monitoring the tropical forecast shows what looks like rain along the panhandle.

Watch out Fla & Ga & SC

Latest update from ECMWF shows the (currently) unnamed storm out in the Atlantic heading straight for NE Fla, SE Ga and SC right around Labor Day.

Looks good for us. BTW, has it been raIning down there. The radar I've seen of the northern Gulf on the Weather Channel that is monitoring the tropical forecast shows what looks like rain along the panhandle.

Whoa. Has it been raining. Flooding is more like it. Good thing lots of great inside music entertainment, dining and our favorite football teams to watch. Sean Peyton, who frequents WaterColor in SoWal, and his Saints are having a good game tonight.

Latest update from ECMWF shows that the day after Labor Day should be interesting in SE Ga and the SC Low Country.

Atlantic Update

Does this site show anything potentially happening in our area with the storms in the Atlantic?

Does this site show anything potentially happening in our area with the storms in the Atlantic?

Nope. Everything in their forecast is out in the Atlantic. The track of one storm is very similar to the one that brushed by the outer banks at Labor Day, but not much of note in the Gulf.

Let's hope that the GFS models are wrong for the GOM as of 9/28/10


4-panel chart of 200mb Wind, Ht, 500mb Vort, Ht, MSLP 1000 - 500mb, 850mb Temp, Ht