Ike

Yes Obi Wan Hurricane Kanobi.

Ike is definitely a disturbance in the force, or should I say, disturbing force, but I am not seeing Sowal as it's target for now.

Currently they are saying south of Miami on the peninsula but that is a shift slightly west from their guesstimates yesterday. After it hits near Miami on late Tuesday, they are saying it might go up the peninsula into Georgia but it's too early to tell. It is definitely another one to keep an eye on.

Go check out where NOAA is projecting it to go. This is not good at all. :shock:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/index.shtml

Ike is definitely a disturbance in the force, or should I say, disturbing force, but I am not seeing Sowal as it's target for now.

Currently they are saying south of Miami on the peninsula but that is a shift slightly west from their guesstimates yesterday. After it hits near Miami on late Tuesday, they are saying it might go up the peninsula into Georgia but it's too early to tell. It is definitely another one to keep an eye on.

The latest composite projection makes it almost look like it's headed to Tampa. But the models are all over the place. This storm is goofy. I know you have other storms to worry about but please post if you hear anything more definitive.

The latest guesstimate as of 11:57 est is that now they are saying it will go through the Keys and into the Gulf between Tuesday and Wednesday. It would be offshore of the Ft Myers area around 11am on Wednesday. The track is almost the exact same as NHC.

Dr. Jeff is giving Ike a 70% chance of hitting the Gulf Coast somewhere....

Hey BeachSiO2- y'all stay safe and keep us updated- does the puppy have a little life preserver?

Dr. Jeff is giving Ike a 70% chance of hitting the Gulf Coast somewhere....

Hey BeachSiO2- y'all stay safe and keep us updated- does the puppy have a little life preserver?

Actually it's only the puppy and I, the better half is in Sowal. She will be well taken care of, and thanks for asking. As for now, the first rain bands are coming.

Actually it's only the puppy and I, the better half is in Sowal. She will be well taken care of, and thanks for asking. As for now, the first rain bands are coming.

I checked in on YOU first! Politics be dammed...the haiku hero is more important!!

jdarg...I have been too scared to look. Thanks for updating.

Dr. Jeff is giving Ike a 70% chance of hitting the Gulf Coast somewhere....

I don't like Ike.... Note that Dr. Jeff includes all of the Florida west coast in this definition of "Gulf Coast". The forecast has changed so much in the last 2 days. Very scary.

I checked in on YOU first! Politics be dammed...the haiku hero is more important!!.

I know you did...

Cat 4 and into the gulf. Folks this one deserves some respect...

Me no likely those models! :angry:

Ike is worrying me now.
http://www.spaghettimodels.com/

I am seeing the same thing and the guesstimate keeps moving west. Looks like next weekend could have rough surf at least.

Good lord, what if it hits NOLA??

Good lord, what if it hits NOLA??

I'd say New Orleans will be losing many more of its residents. Before Katrina I saw where there were 484,000 residents, now there are 239,000. Alot of these people have just started going back home over the past several days. But I heard they were allowing them back in but I also heard they were not wanting them to come back yet. So I don't know which is correct.

I cannot imagine wanting to go back this soon. Surely much of the power is still off and I am sure there had to be some damage flood wise. I know the levees supposedly held pretty much but still, they cannot keep evacuating time after time again over a several week period. They will get tired of that.

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Gustav updates can be found at:

http://wwl.com (this is a news station with great coverage that streams live)
http://nola.com (New Orleans newspaper)
http://www.2theadvocate.com (Baton Rouge newspaper)

Baton Rouge took a harder hit than New Orleans did. Worst since Hurricane Betsy, and many say worse than Betsy. Almost all of the city was without power. Gov. Bobby Jindal has done a great job by all accounts in managing and accelerating the recovery process.

I've heard anecdotally from friends that many in the New Orleans area will not return if another big one hits. They simply can't take any more. Who can blame them?

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Gustav updates can be found at:

http://wwl.com (this is a news station with great coverage that streams live)
http://nola.com (New Orleans newspaper)
http://www.2theadvocate.com (Baton Rouge newspaper)

Baton Rouge took a harder hit than New Orleans did. Worst since Hurricane Betsy, and many say worse than Betsy. Almost all of the city was without power. Gov. Bobby Jindal has done a great job by all accounts in managing and accelerating the recovery process.

I've heard anecdotally from friends that many in the New Orleans area will not return if another big one hits. They simply can't take any more. Who can blame them?

There are some very smart people that would like the opportunity to redesign that city to be more storm resistant. I don't want to say that it would be good if some people don't go back to their homes, but then again, it would make it much easier to plan a better protected city. Note that I said "more storm resistant" and "better protected," not completely protected.

We will certainly know more as the days progress but Ike has me very concerned. Watch the forecasts and be prepared.
Hopefully, it won't cause any problems anywhere but it has the potential to be an issue.

We will certainly know more as the days progress but Ike has me very concerned. Watch the forecasts and be prepared.
Hopefully, it won't cause any problems anywhere but it has the potential to be an issue.

I caught our local news here tonight and the Amtrak trains that brought around 3500 evacuees here this past weekend were here tonight loading them up to take them back to New Orleans. I would not be going back yet as they are showing Ike entering the Gulf Monday as a Cat 4 hurricane with 135mph winds. And I have not seen anything yet showing exactly where it is expected to go, as towards New Orleans, the Florida Panhandle, Texas coast, etc.

They all may have to evacuate again. But people have to live somewhere. There is always something negative about everywhere people live though as to floods, hurricanes, tornadoes, wildfires, etc., and other things.

I caught our local news here tonight and the Amtrak trains that brought around 3500 evacuees here this past weekend were here tonight loading them up to take them back to New Orleans. I would not be going back yet as they are showing Ike entering the Gulf Monday as a Cat 4 hurricane with 135mph winds. And I have not seen anything yet showing exactly where it is expected to go, as towards New Orleans, the Florida Panhandle, Texas coast, etc.

They all may have to evacuate again. But people have to live somewhere. There is always something negative about everywhere people live though as to floods, hurricanes, tornadoes, wildfires, etc., and other things.

I totally agree. Humans can't avoid Mother Nature totally. There isn't ever an ideal place. We can be as advanced as we want to be but some things are left up to chance & some risks are just out of our hands, no matter where we live. I choose here!

I totally agree. Humans can't avoid Mother Nature totally. There isn't ever an ideal place. We can be as advanced as we want to be but some things are left up to chance & some risks are just out of our hands, no matter where we live. I choose here!

We are practically in tornado alley here and also sit practically on top of the New Madrid fault line. So I figure eventually we will have a earthquake here, there are tremors all around this area all the time but I never feel them. Just one time a few years ago we felt one and heard it also. We just deal with it. There is no ideal place to live, just like you said. You cannot control Mother Nature.

are y'all trying to give me an anxiety attack? I should have never looked at the model maps on this thread.

are y'all trying to give me an anxiety attack? I should have never looked at the model maps on this thread.

The map on here shows it in the gulf as Cat 3 around Tuesday and then Cat 4 Wednesday. The news on tv showed it moving into the gulf on Monday.

But either way, it needs to go away.

are y'all trying to give me an anxiety attack? I should have never looked at the model maps on this thread.

I was thinking along the same lines.

Good lord, what if it hits NOLA??

The concern for New Orleans is very real, but I am selfishly concerned that it will hit US.

Quoting a colleague in Bradenton, it would be great if Ike decided to play nice and just go away. But that doesn't look likely.