Obama sets aside $75 billion to slow foreclosures - MarketWatch
Ok, so the plan has been released. Essentially a two parter, one, 75 billion for mortgage subsidies on underwater non-jumbo owners that qualify, and two, give bankruptcy judges the right to modify loans as they see fit.
The repercussions of the later part are pretty interesting - why would lenders lend if they knew judges could null and void their contracts with a stroke of a pen? I sense this will add quite a bit of uncertainty and instability to the lending markets going forward.
Personally I complete disagree with both parts. 75 billion to help people who bought houses they couldn't afford just rubs me the wrong way.
Mango, care to comment, I'd love to hear what you have to say about it, especially cram downs.
I would imagine that Durbin's Modification Bill will include these provisions:
Only mortgages closed before the date of enactment will be eligible for cramdown protection. In other words, the focus will be on helping current owners, rather than future borrowers who become delinquent.
To be eligible, owners will need to inform their lender or loan servicer in advance of their intention to file for bankruptcy protection. That's intended to get the lender's immediate attention and prompt its best offer on a modification of the their loan terms, including principal reduction because including mods under Chapter 13 will effectively stop any collection efforts.
As far as market impact, "Adam J. Levitin, a professor at Georgetown University Law Center, recently published a study that examined the potential impact of modification of home mortgages on interest rates and concluded that ?permitting unlimited strip-down would have no or little effect overall on mortgage interest rates.?
"It isn?t only Professor Levitin who thinks that allowing strip-offs would have little impact on mortgage rates. The originator of mortgage securitization, Lewis Ranieri, said that such relief is the only way to break through the problem posed by second mortgages. For this reason, even though he was the one ?who wrote the bankruptcy exemption for first mortgages,? he ?finally gave up? and now publicly supports letting bankruptcy courts modify home mortgages." Full text here >>
The only problem I have with modifying under Chapter 13 protection would be if the Judges also simultaneously modifying, and when I say modify, I mean lower the principal balance on unsecured debt, like credit cards. What will happen is every putz who lived beyond their means will be rushing to the courts to file for Chapter 13 protection and that could increase lending costs on unsecured debt. On the flip side, if the judges don't modify CC debt, then under Chapter 13 it has to be repaid, which will keep it off the Banks balance sheets as a P& L write down if they stopped paying altogether. In all likelihood, if someone goes to foreclosure, they will let their other credit go to pot also.
I'd like to see the full Bill and all the amendments.