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Why do we need high speed rail between Tampa and Orlando?

30ashopper avatar
SoWal Insider
2,871 views
High-speed rail, SunRail: Election results could derail high-speed rail, SunRail - OrlandoSentinel.com

..and between Orlando and Miami? When I was living on California, Las Vegas spent a lot of money trying to get a high speed rail line between Vegas and L.A.. Everyone said it was primarily designed funnel L.A. money over to Vegas casinos, which long term, would be bad for Californians.

Here in Florida it seems some folks are trying to do the same thing for Orlando.

Orlando Mayor Buddy Dyer, a key supporter of both trains, said he would be surprised if there is a move to scuttle either one.
"I would assume anybody who wants to create jobs in Florida would recognize the benefits of high-speed rail and SunRail," said Dyer, a Democrat.

Both trains come with the promise of thousands of jobs, ranging from engineers to carpenters to concrete mixers. SunRail proponents say 6,700 construction jobs could be created by the train, with work beginning next year. High-speed rail, meanwhile, is supposed to generate about 23,000 construction-related jobs, starting next year.

Orange County's chief of transportation, Jim Harrison, said those jobs are critical to the Central Florida economy, where unemployment stands at 11.9 percent.

I get the short term jobs argument, but what are the long term benefits? Can anyone voice long term economic reasons for these projects? What about long term costs?

Replies

60
30ashopper avatar
SoWal InsiderAuthor
#52
I'm probably going to be a bit inflamatory and straw man-erecting here, but if you use the same logic, are you okay with federal Medicaid dollars providing abortion services if a state decides that they need to provide those services for any poor women who simply walks up and asks, no matter how far along she is?

Because according to your logic, the state should be able to do whatever they want with the money even if they're not following the terms of the grant.

Sure, at the state level, the people should have that choice.
30ashopper avatar
SoWal InsiderAuthor
#53
No, the money is for high speed trains - and there is already a line of states who lost out on the grant who want it if Wisconsin passes.

The amount they have already spent and that they will have to pay for upgrades is around $100 million - the worst case totally unsubsidized cost for maintaining and running the high speed train is $7.7 million a year. Federal subsidies could cover 80% of that.

The $83 million has to be spent for crumbling freight lines - part of the high speed proposal was new dual tracks - one for freight and one for passenger so that cost was covered by the grant.

$810 million includes the trains, tracks, new terminal buildings, upgrading rail road crossings, tying it to the Hiawatha line that runs from Milwaukee to Chicago etc.

That just does not sound right for an 810 million dollar rail project. Where did you get that figure?
scooterbug44 avatar
SoWal Expert
#54
Doyle says canceling rail line will cost $100 million, cut 400 jobs - JSOnline

Most of the costs in the project are for design and construction of items - bridges, new and upgraded rail lines, trains, terminals, connections to other lines. The costs after that are mostly maintenance and staffing.

So far Illinois, Ohio, New York, and Minnesota all want the grant money if Wisconsin turns it down. :roll:
30ashopper avatar
SoWal InsiderAuthor
#55
Doyle says canceling rail line will cost $100 million, cut 400 jobs - JSOnline

Most of the costs in the project are for design and construction of items - bridges, new and upgraded rail lines, trains, terminals, connections to other lines. The costs after that are mostly maintenance and staffing.

So far Illinois, Ohio, New York, and Minnesota all want the grant money if Wisconsin turns it down. :roll:

Yep, it's a losing proposition. Best to just cancel it. They'll make up any loss over the long term in reduced costs to taxpayers.
scooterbug44 avatar
SoWal Expert
#56
How is it a losing proposition?

On one side you have $810 million in federal funding, construction jobs, manufacturing jobs (the trains were to be built in Wisconsin), and a spiffy new rail line linking you to other hubs as part of a long term multi-state regional project.

On the other side you have $100 million you are paying out, a reduction in jobs, and your state is a laughing stock as other states fall over themselves to get the grant you are turning down.

The amount they have to pay just for canceling the contracts in place is several years worth of operating costs.

Edited

30ashopper avatar
SoWal InsiderAuthor
#57
How is it a losing proposition?

On one side you have $810 million in federal funding, construction jobs, manufacturing jobs (the trains were to be built in Wisconsin), and a spiffy new rail line linking you to other hubs as part of a long term multi-state regional project.

On the other side you have $100 million you are paying out, a reduction in jobs, and your state is a laughing stock as other states fall over themselves to get the grant you are turning down.

The amount they have to pay just for canceling the contracts in place is several years worth of operating costs.

According the article linked by that original story, the overall project once completed will not be self funding and taxpayers will pick up the tab. The 7 mil figure seems off, in another article it's 16 mil. Lets assume they cancel it and it does in fact cost 100 mil in repayments. Saved revenue would make that up in six years.

My question is, why don't they simply sign an agreement that stipulates the system must be self funding? That's how normal businesses work. Why did the democrat governor and legislature agree to build a system that literally guarantee's a loss each year? IMHO, the bad guy is not the new governor, it?s the idiot who sat at his desk before him.
beachmouse avatar
Beach Fanatic
#58
Because there's really no such thing as a self-funding mass transit system in the United States. Fares pay an average of 20% of operating costs; 30% if you're lucky and good and have some of your bonds paid off.

The cost of a new metro station for the DC system was running $500 million to $1 billion per station by the time they finished the original planned stations. (It's never going to be cheap to tunnel as deep as they had to in order to complete the Red Line) And even the bus route option is high cost to run.

And despite the bad numbers from a revenue perspective, fares get set as they do for the simple reason that a) a whole bunch of people from a wide variety of income levels work in big city urban cores and b) there's simple no way to have everyone who works in a skyscraper-dense core city area commute by car. Even if they fit on the street in motion, parking is a whole other deal.
Beach Fanatic
#59
Don't let politics block high-speed rail - St. Petersburg Times
Rail service may have to evolve in Florida, especially amid this down economy. But it presents a tremendous opportunity for the state to grow, ease congestion, link the major cities and tourist destinations and put people to work. Florida rarely gets its fare share of federal dollars, and the state's new Republican leaders should not throw up roadblocks to high-speed rail because of partisan politics.

I am beginning to believe that these governors are rejecting this in so many states, simply because it is an idea from the Obama Administration, and if so, that is just so discouraging.

Edited

30ashopper avatar
SoWal InsiderAuthor
#60
And despite the bad numbers from a revenue perspective, fares get set as they do for the simple reason that a) a whole bunch of people from a wide variety of income levels work in big city urban cores and b) there's simple no way to have everyone who works in a skyscraper-dense core city area commute by car. Even if they fit on the street in motion, parking is a whole other deal.

That's the most reasonable argument I've heard for mass transit loses. If it truly is pro-growth, pro-"move the workers around so they can find better jobs and contribute more", the net positive may out weight the individual loss. I'd like to see studies on individual projects though that show these potential gains.
beachmouse avatar
Beach Fanatic
#61
It really is a classicexample of a positive externalitiy in microecomics, for all that public education tends to be the case study used in the textbooks.

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