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Scott scraps Orlando to Tampa rail project

30ashopper avatar
30ashopperSoWal Insider
2,625 views
First ? capital cost overruns from the project could put Florida taxpayers on the hook for an additional $3 billion.

o Second ? ridership and revenue projections are historically overly-optimistic and would likely result in ongoing subsidies that state taxpayers would have to incur. (from $300 million ? $575 million over 10 years) ? Note: The state subsidizes Tri-Rail $34.6 million a year while passenger revenues covers only $10.4 million of the $64 million annual operating budget.


o Finally ? if the project becomes too costly for taxpayers and is shut down, the state would have to return the $2.4 billion in federal funds to D.C.
  • The truth is that this project would be far too costly to taxpayers and I believe the risk far outweighs the benefits.
  • Historical data shows capital cost overruns are pervasive in 9 out of 10 high speed rail projects and that 2/3 of those projects inflated ridership projections by an average of 65 percent of actual patronage.
  • It is projected that 3.07 million people will use the train annually. Keep in mind that Amtrak?s Acela train in Washington, D.C., Boston, Philadelphia, New York and Baltimore only had 3.2 million riders in 2010. And that market?s population is 8 times the size of the Tampa/Orlando market.
  • President Obama?s high-speed rail program is not the answer to Florida?s economic recovery.
  • We must make investments in areas where we will get a return for the shareholders ? Florida?s taxpayers.
  • Rather than investing in a high-risk rail project, we should be focusing on improving our ports, rail and highway infrastructure to be in a position to attract the increased shipping that will result when the Panama Canal is expanded when the free trade agreements with Colombia and Panama are ratified and with the expansion of the economies of Central and South America.
  • By capturing a larger share of containerized imports entering our seaports, expanding export markets for Florida businesses and emerging as a global hub for trade and investment we can create up to an additional 143,000 jobs according to a recent chamber of commerce study.
  • It is absolutely critical that we make smart investments with taxpayer dollars, whether state or federal, and I believe our state will be better served by spending these funds on projects that will benefit Florida and not turn into a spending boondoggle.
  • The answer is to reduce government spending, cut government?s leash on our state?s job creators and then hold that government accountable for the investments it makes.

Florida Governor Rick Scott - Florida Governor Rick Scott Rejects Federal High Speed Rail

And of course, special interests, local politicians, and the feds cry foul!

Rick Scott rejects high-speed rail: Gov. Rick Scott says he's rejecting federal high-speed rail money - OrlandoSentinel.com

Replies

65
Andy A avatar
Andy ABeach Fanatic
#52
You're talking pretty crazy. My guess is you have no idea what kind of numbers you are talking about.

As a taxpayer who pays for their own health care and runs their own business, I can safely say that your proposal has no basis in reality.

The less fortunate are a minor expense - despite what you think, corporations and millionaires get many more handouts.

The amount we spend on foreign aid is minuscule compared to what we spend on tax cuts, subsidies, and the military.

Cutting foreign aid by 50% would save us $17 billion. Letting the Bush tax cuts expire for people over $250K would have saved us $54 billion.

Cutting Iraq & Afghanistan troops to 60K - $51 billion.

Have fun playing with this:

Budget Puzzle: You Fix the Budget - Interactive Feature - NYTimes.com
Now that you have pointed out all the places cutting would make no difference, would you please point out were we should start? We played with this puzzle previously, and it took Geo less than 30 minutes to balance the budget, but no one would have accepted his reasonable cuts.
Just maybe we could also consider the 100's of redundant programs operated by the different agencies of the federal government. I also imagine the same could be said of the state level as well. Let's not cut anything seems to be what some want. That is not going to solve the problem and it is a given the problem is not going to be solved overnight, this year or even in five years but it is time to start doing so.
scooterbug44 avatar
scooterbug44SoWal Expert
#53
I think most of us would have accepted Geo's cuts - or at least seen them as a good starting point for some reasonable compromise.

As far as eliminating redundancy, I started a thread last week with recommendations from a non-partisan group about how to take a big chunk out of the budget by making changes that wouldn't really affect many people, but would save a lot of money.

The Charlie Sheen thread got more posts and reads.
BeachSiO2 avatar
BeachSiO2Beach Fanatic
#54
high speed trains would work well orlando to miami tampa to orlando. they will do well in ca. they've never been given a chance here. funny that we will push offshore drilling before mass transit. who do this benefit? follow the money eh a?

How do you know that they would work well? Does anyone have a link to any study that shows this? How much are ticket prices (key driver to usage)? What is the user demographic (are they willing to pay for tickets and then pay a cabbie to get them from the train station to their destination)? What would the schedule be (I understand rush hour is the problem not all day)? How many seats are available per trip (big trains or small trains)? How many seats are available per day? Details... Details....

I can buy it in the northeast where trains run already and people are used to riding but I have a very hard time accepting that 9,000+ people per day will travel from Orlando to Tampa and I am a FAN of train travel. I just don't agree that this route is viable without a connection to the north and am not buying into the Field of Dreams approach to "build it and they will come."
GoodWitch58Beach Fanatic
#55
I tried to link to the FDOT site where the report is supposed to be...got a message saying the site was down...:idontno:
GoodWitch58Beach Fanatic
#56
New study gives high speed rail supporters more ammo in fight to save project
this has a PDF with a portion of the study.

http://www.cfnews13.com/article/news/2011/march/217665/Florida-gets-another-shot-at-high-speed-rail
It looks like Florida will get another chance at high-speed rail, and this time, it won't need the governor's approval.

The news came from Washington early Friday evening.

One of the project?s biggest supporters, Sen. Bill Nelson, was elated and has remained cautiously optimistic he would be able to find a way to bypass Gov. Rick Scott if Transportation Secretary Ray LaHood would go for it.

But a few things still have to happen.

First, there has to be an inter-local agreement between the cities where the rail runs -- Orlando, Lakeland and Tampa ? which is already there.

Next, they have to partner with someone other than the state to operate the rail likely Amtrak, although it could be a newly created rail authority.

Finally, since we passed on the $2.4 billion originally, now it's open to everyone in the country.

However, Nelson is pretty confident we will win the bid process.

"Remember Florida in the secretary's mind was the absolute best project in the nation. Why? Because the right of way is there. The environmental studies are there. The project is ready to go with no delays, so we can get this money to start digging dirt and pouring concrete," said Sen. Bill Nelson.

"Beyond a doubt, a high-speed rail line would be of tremendous benefit to the state of Florida, both for the state's infrastructure as well as for job creation," said Democratic Rep. Corrine Brown.

It?s estimated the rail would create 24,000 jobs.

The new deadline for everyone to apply for this money is April 4.

Nelson admitted one of the potential hurdles could still be the governor.

The state owns the median of Interstate 4 where the rail would be built.

The senator said the governor could try to block the project on those grounds, but then the state Legislature could intervene.
High-speed rail news


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Edited

30ashopper avatar
30ashopperSoWal InsiderAuthor
#57
This week's ridership projections exaggerate the previously exaggerated projections even more.

In a market with 80 percent less population and less tourism than Washington-to-New York, planners were projecting ridership at only 30 percent less. Now, these new projections place Tampa-Orlando ridership at least as high as in the Washington-to-New York corridor. This requires a child-like faith that Floridians are likely to take the train eight times as often as people in the Washington-to-New York corridor. Economists have developed something called the "laugh test" for numbers like these.

Comprehensive international research, led by Oxford University Professor Bent Flyvbjerg has shown that ridership projections on large passenger rail projects overstate actual ridership by an average of 65 percent. This exaggeration of ridership results in an exaggeration of revenue levels, which increases the likelihood of losses.

Reason Foundation - Out of Control Policy Blog > New, Even More Exaggerated, Florida High-Speed Rail Numbers

Kinda what I figured. DOT numbers are inflated beyond reason. The devil is in the details.
30ashopper avatar
30ashopperSoWal InsiderAuthor
#59
Not so fast.

Study says $4 gas prices will drive millions to public transit - Drive On: A conversation about the cars and trucks we drive - USATODAY.com

"American Public Transportation Association - International organization for the bus, rapid transit and commuter rail systems industry, based in Washington, DC."

You put your trust (and your pocket book) in lobbyists hands? I don't. ;-)
scooterbug44 avatar
scooterbug44SoWal Expert
#60
The last time gas prices were this high we had a surge in public transportation ridership.

$3.50 - 4 gas is the point at which many see the light.
30ashopper avatar
30ashopperSoWal InsiderAuthor
#61
The last time gas prices were this high we had a surge in public transportation ridership.

$3.50 - 4 gas is the point at which many see the light.

I can see that where rail is convenient. I used to ride Bart to and from work in San Francisco, and I suppose if I ever live in NY I'd ride the subway.


But we're not talking about densely populated urban centers here, we're talking about a multi-billion dollar high speed train between a casino and Disney World, in between which you have little more than orange groves and horse stables.

Edited

BeachSiO2 avatar
BeachSiO2Beach Fanatic
#62
Not to mention a huge chunk of riders are between the airport and Disney. How many peeps are going to fly to see the Small World After All when they are struggling at home to keep their autos full to go to work. The more I learn abouth this particular project the more it looks like a win for Disney but not so much for the commuter. More than half of the anticipated trips serve Orlando, not Orlando to Tampa.
BeachSiO2 avatar
BeachSiO2Beach Fanatic
#63
Sorry can't edit on bberry, not more than half but almost half are limited to Orlando..
30ashopper avatar
30ashopperSoWal InsiderAuthor
#64
I'm curious if Scott will allow the other part of SunRail go through which he current has on hold. This is the commuter train section that runs north to south through Orlando. That sounds like it might be a worth while project. Unfortunately the funding agreements are skewed so that the operating costs and any cost over runs or losses are picked up by state taxpayers. If they can rework those so that people like Bob get the bill if it fails, that might end up being a useful commuter system. (I haven't seen any ridership studies though, so who knows.)

Edited

scooterbug44 avatar
scooterbug44SoWal Expert
#65
Rail is not the only form of public transportation - buses, shuttles, rideshare programs, you name it will have ridership increase.

I agree that rail makes sense for passengers in limited areas - but for freight in many more places.

It cracks me up when so many scoff at trains as a "European" thing when so many American cities have and do use trains.
GoodWitch58Beach Fanatic
#66
McClatchy blog: Planet Washington
Wisconsin Republican Gov. Scott Walker, who late last year rejected federal funding for high speed rail projects, is now one of several governors requesting a portion of the $2.4 billion in rail money Florida turned down in February ? some of which came from Wisconsin.

Before Walker became nationally known for his effort to strip state public employees of collective bargaining rights, he campaigned against an $810 million high speed rail project between Milwaukee and Madison in last year's election.

Now he wants $150 million to improve service and add trains on Amtrak's Chicago-Milwaukee Hiawatha line.

Read more: http://blogs.mcclatchydc.com/washin...-rail-funds-he-turned-down.html#ixzz1IkKPNKEi

Amazing...

Edited

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