Praying all these models are totally wrong! My 7-year old twins were in tears this morning when they heard us talking about SoWal possibly getting hit. We are scheduled to get in Sept 1st from Ohio....hoping eveyone stays safe!
If you are new to the whole hurricane experience, here is a bit of advice. If you board up, when you take them down, fill the nail holes before you paint. Otherwise water settles into those holes and rots the window and door trim. We learned this the first time we boarded up in 2004. We had to replace all the trim around the windows and doors. Thank goodness the last time we had to board up was for Katrina in 2005 because the computer models were inconsistent until the last minute. But when you board up a three-story house, you can't do it at the last minute. You have to do it when you have the workers available to do it. I mean, there's no way my husband could carry multiple 50-pound pieces of plywood up a 32' ladder. And we were lucky enough to have a 32' ladder. Ladders are a valuable commodity prior to a storm. Thankfully hubby has every tool known to the human race, so he had a 32' ladder.
Thanks for the info. This will be our 2nd trip since May. We love the area and try to come every year, but this trip we are bringing friends with us and this will be their first trip. We do have travel insurance but do not want to have to cancel. We are thinking since it will be the week after everything should be ok?? Prayers that everyone will be safe!
My home in Grayton needs to have my panels mounted. I am thinking about coming down to install, but actually concerned I will be caught before I could finish. I am working on getting some additional help. We just bought the home and have not had a chance arrange for panal installation during the storms. Is anyone going to ride this out in Grayton or will most of the locals evacuate on level 2 hurricane? Its insured, but I would prefer to avoid additional damage as you can imagine. I am really concerned about flooding in the Grayton area. Any suggestions would be great
Grayton can have some flooding near the beach if there is storm surge. Some water got up around the red bar for Opal. That was pretty extreme. If you are north, and not on the lake, you should be OK from flooding. Many people will stay, but absolutely should leave if they are in low lying areas that are prone to flood. A lot of locals leave because being without power for a few days or more stinks.
I am on Magnolia in New Grayton. My elevation is not far off from the Red Bar, but I could see a little flooding if it floods the Red Bar. House is about 6 feet above ground elevation, but not the auto! Thanks for the advice.
Okay, So I just mapped High Pointe, zoomed out and compared it to the predicted path of Isaac.... Looks like a bullseye. :angry:
Post storm, Blue Mountain Beach will look like the nightmare the "I own the beach" crowd have made it.
The latest models are all trending West.. Euro has Orange Beach as Ground Zero, GFS has it heading dead towards .. New Orleans..
Tropical Storm Isaac Forecast Updates, Hurricane Warnings And Watches: Saturday (PHOTO, VIDEO) FOLLOW: Video, Hurricane Isaac, Tropical Storm Isaac, Hurricane Isaac Path, Isaac Hurricane, Isaac Projected Path, Miami Weather, Slideexpand, Miami News Tropical Storm Isaac is expected to be at hurricane strength when it reaches the Florida Keys Sunday night, according to the National Hurricane Center's 11 p.m. advisory. Florida Governor Rick Scott declared a state of emergency Saturday afternoon and GOP officials decided to delay the Republican National Convention. Forecasters said the storm should intensify over the Florida Straits before heading through the Keys toward the southwest corner of the state on Sunday, putting much of southern Florida on the storm's wide and angry northeast side. A tropical storm warning has been extended into the Florida Panhandle while a hurricane watch is now in place for the west coast south of Bonita Beach. A hurricane watch was earlier issued for Miami-Dade County, where public school officials canceled Monday classes as a precaution (scroll down for preparation recommendations). Isaac still boasted maximum sustained winds of 60 mph late Saturday night. Officials said the storm was churning northwest at 17 mph and should pass just north of the central coast of Cuba tonight. The National Weather Service cautioned against concentrating on Isaac's exact path: strong tropical storm-force winds now extend outward up to 205 miles from its center, so much of South Florida should see heavy rains and will likely experience flooding. @usNWSgov NWSRemember, a tropical storm is not a single point on a map. High winds, flooding, rough seas can extend 100s of miles from the center. #Isaac August 24, 2012 11:50 pm via web Reply Retweet Favorite As Miami-Dade, Broward, and Monroe Schools canceled classes for Monday, the Miami-Dade County Emergency Operations Center urged residents to closely monitor the storm and complete hurricane preparations: Gather your hurricane supplies now if you have not already done so. You should have three days worth of supplies, such as non-perishable food and water, for each person in your household. You should begin putting up your hurricane shutters now. Fill your vehicle’s gas tank with gasoline. If you fill extra gas containers with gasoline, make sure you store them in a safe area in your home. Verify if you live in an evacuation zone and if you do make plans to leave should an evacuation order be issued. Miami-Dade evacuation zone maps are available on our Web site www.miamidade.gov/emergency. You should know that County government does not recommend that residents evacuate outside the County. Your home, yard and construction debris should be properly secured. Any objects that hurricane winds could blow about should be tied down or brought indoors (garbage cans, patio furniture, garden tools, toys, etc.). Do not trim trees or shrubs at this time. Solid Waste has discontinued trash and recycling pick-ups until further notice. Miami International Airport remains open but many airline carriers have canceled or will cancel flights. Travelers should contact their airline carrier to confirm flight information. Metrorail, Metrobus and Metromover will continue to operate until further notice. Private businesses are urged to send employees home immediately. Public marinas are closed. If a boil water order is issued, boil the water for one minute before drinking it. This post will be updated throughout the day as NHC forecasts are released.
Great info on SoWal! Will stay tuned in. I hope I don't have to test out this bunker of a house and the backup solar but if it comes to that I feel it won't let me down! Good luck everyone! Cross fingers it has the least intensity possible! And hi to all - long time no talk!! Gidget
huge turn to west overnight. Its all the way to miss-ala border. If it stays there or shifts even more west in next 24hrs we could get by with only heavy rain
Looking better. When you are in the bullseye more than a few days out no need to panic, but it is unnerving to say the least. Paths almost always shift when landfall is that far away. Notice I said almost always. Knock on wood. Yet there is still plenty of time for the landfall prediction to move either east or west. And of course sometimes they turn at the last hours. Our worst case is if the eye passes slightly to our west and hits Destin or FoWal like Opal did. Even if Isaac makes landfall well to our west I fear beach erosion. Our dunes are so vulnerable! The dunes are looking good compared to 2006, but even small storms that have come ashore well to our west have pushed waves right to the toe of the dunes.
Your elevation is not the only issue. What happened during Opal is that the end of Garfield Street, Cottage Street, and Banfill Street where they meet the beach basically became funnels for the surge and surf so the houses on the north side of Hotz Avenue across from the Red Bar got inundated and a few pushed off their foundations. Please don't take my word as gospel but I think Magnolia Street has always fared well because you are behind high dunes that haven't been breached. I suppose during a serious cat 4 or 5 surge could make its way to 'New Grayton" streets on the west side at the path to the gulf beside the Provow's home. Remember that Grayton Beach and its old homes have been through massive storms in the past.
Yes, the major erosion done by Dennis was in large measure due to the angle it came in on. Issac may do a similar track. Is FoWal a word? (I guess it is now).
Remember that since we're under a state of emergency, the price-gouging laws have kicked in. http://www.nwfdailynews.com/articles/storm-51952-home-water.html Meanwhile, Attorney General Pam Bondi activated the state’s price-gouging hotline. People can call 1-866-9-NO-SCAM to report hikes in prices of gas, hotels, water, ice, food, and other essential items.
