Hurricane Wilma

[TooFarTampa]

Re: TD 24 Forecast to become a hurricane

The strong right turn in the models are in anticipation of a strong frontal system. This time of year it is quite possible. I have not looked that closely but that is usually the reason for such a significant turn.

Model Tracks & Floater Image

Thanks TW. And johnrudy -- I'm sure you know how lackadaisical we are around here. It has been 80 years I think. We are due. :shock:

 

[Miss Kitty]

Re: TD 24 Forecast to become a hurricane

The omnipotent force is just working as planned.

That and your skeery face. Thanks Bob. Wasn't it generators last time?

 

[Bob]

Re: TD 24 Forecast to become a hurricane

That and your skeery face. Thanks Bob. Wasn't it generators last time?

The generator theory went the way of my stock market advice, as Dennis came through and the need arose to hire the omnipotent force.

 

[BigR]

Re: TD 24 Forecast to become a hurricane

The strong right turn in the models are in anticipation of a strong frontal system. This time of year it is quite possible. I have not looked that closely but that is usually the reason for such a significant turn.

Model Tracks & Floater Image

This is the latest update. We shouldn't be too smug until we see it crossing the peninsula.(Edited for clarity)

THE NEW FORECAST TRACK IS ADJUSTED SOMEWHAT TO THE LEFT FOR THE FIRST 48 HR BASED ON THE CURRENT POSITION AND MOTION...WITH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST TRACK SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY IN AGREEMENT WITH THE MODEL CONSENSUS. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT THE MODELS DO NOT COMPLETELY AGREE ON HOW THE EASTERN U. S. TROUGH WILL EVOLVE...AND THESE DIFFERENCES COULD MAKE A SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCE IN WHAT PARTS OF FLORIDA WILMA WILL ULTIMATELY AFFECT.
THE INTENSITY FORECAST HAS BECOME MORE COMPLICATED. THE CURRENT
RAPID INTENSIFICATION AND FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT SHOULD BRING WILMA TO CATEGORY FOUR STATUS IN THE NEXT 24 HR...AND IT WOULD NOT BE A SURPRISE TO SEE IT REACH CATEGORY FIVE BEFORE IT BOTTOMS OUT.
WHEN WILMA MOVES INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO...IT SHOULD ENCOUNTER SLIGHTLY COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND GRADUALLY INCREASING VERTICAL SHEAR. THIS SHOULD CAUSE A SLOW WEAKENING...ALTHOUGH IT IS PROBABLE THAT WILMA WILL STILL BE A MAJOR HURRICANE WHEN IT REACHES THE FLORIDA PENINSULA

 

[TooFarTampa]

Re: TD 24 Forecast to become a hurricane

150 mph winds at 1 a.m. This thing just became a hurricane Tuesday morning. It is just insanity!

 

[Rudyjohn]

Re: TD 24 Forecast to become a hurricane

150 mph winds at 1 a.m. This thing just became a hurricane Tuesday morning. It is just insanity!

And now, it's a cat. 5!!!!!!!!!!

 

[iwishiwasthere]

Re: TD 24 Forecast to become a hurricane

All this happen since I went to bed last night??? That is unbelieveable!

 

[Miss Kitty]

Re: TD 24 Forecast to become a hurricane

And now, it's a cat. 5!!!!!!!!!!

Holy Cow! I just turned on the TV and saw that...last time I heard it was Cat. 2! Just read that the biatch has sustained winds of 175 mph and has the lowest record pressure in Atlantic Basin ever recorded.

 

[aquaticbiology]

Re: TD 24 Forecast to become a hurricane

same thing katrina and rita did - went from ts to cat 5 super fast

http://www.unknowncountry.com/news/?id=4949

 

[Smiling JOe]

Re: TD 24 Forecast to become a hurricane

Crazy, gusts are over 200mph. Wilma ain't so pretty. I always thought that Betty looked better anyway. You guys in SoFL better look out, even though the cold front is supposed to slow it down. Three days ago, Wilma's wind speed was only 30 mph. Only 1.5 months left of hurricane season.