How about the 2/2 condo in Watercolor listed within a hairs breadth of the original sales price in 2001? Or, how about the lot in Watersound Beach for $199k (similar lot nearby once resold for $800k)? Or the lot in Cypress Cove in Watercolor for $180k? Not many on this board ever believed prices would be falling back to 2001. But, here we are.
I agree with 30Ashopper, prices still have a ways to go. Even 2001 prices didn't make sense in the real world. All those home and condo prices were high based on the price of the raw land below the buildings. In 2001, there were 4000 sq ft pieces of sand in Watercolor, Rosemary, Retreat, etc (not even a view of the ocean) going for over $200k. I believe the prices of the raw land will fall well below the 2001 price levels. As that happens, the price of the homes and condos sitting on that land will fall too as it costs less and less to replace these homes.
The only thing that could change the trend is a major shift in supply and demand, but supply is way, way too high with more and more inventory coming (or ready to come) on the market. Also, too many foreclosures and short sales with more on the way. The market is still way too out of whack for prices to stabilize.