Cheap money also became easy money. People buying on credit often weren't concerned about the cost of the asset, but the amount of the payment.
Very good comments, High. I have lots of clients in the car and boat biz and they relate similar comments- it's all about the payment. Pick up a major city weekend newspaper and look at the big dealer ads- most pimp the monthly payment, not price of car. And most are leases.
I think overall many Americans have become "cash flow purchasers", only looking at monthly outgo vs inflow. The media and the lenders encourage this, unfortunatley. Most times a loan officer is not looking at your financial situation from any other angle than "how can I juggle the #s to get you qualified and into that house/boat/car so I can make my fee".
That creates a tightrope effect- ie: with a small change in either income or outgo, you will see a much larger spike in delinquency, BK, etc. I suspect there are owners on the Gulf right now where the numbers dont work anymore once you factor in higher insurance, monthly note, etc. Not the majority, but a few.
There will be a rebalancing, not a crash, and there will be "investors" at the margins caught in the squeeze. That will create opportunities for the rest of us, and create more business for Mr. High Bidder, IMO.
I suspect in a great place like SoWal, however, those bargains will be snapped up quickly. There will be opportunity until supply/demand rebalances. The good thing for SoWal is that due to demo trends, boomers, QOL, etc, the demand should continue to be good. Not speculative, perhaps, but good long term.