Tropical Storm Warnings

[yippie]

Wtnt35 Knhc 211454
Tcpat5
Bulletin
Subtropical Depression Ten Advisory Number 1
Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl Al102007
1000 Am Cdt Fri Sep 21 2007

...subtropical Depression Forms In The Northeastern Gulf Of
Mexico...

At 10 Am Cdt...1500 Utc...a Tropical Storm Warning Is In Effect From
Apalachicola Florida Westward To The Mouth Of The Mississippi
River...including New Orleans And Lake Pontchartrain. A Tropical
Storm Warning Means That Tropical Storm Conditions Are
Expected Within The Warning Area Within The Next 24 Hours.

For Storm Information Specific To Your Area...including Possible
Inland Watches And Warnings...please Monitor Products Issued
By Your Local Weather Office.

At 1000 Am Cdt...1500z...the Poorly-defined Center Of Subtropical
Depression Ten Was Located Near Latitude 29.2 North...longitude
85.5 West Or About 45 Miles... 75 Km...southwest Of Apalachicola
Florida And About 185 Miles...300 Km...east-southeast Of Mobile
Alabama.

The Depression Is Moving Toward The Northwest Near 8 Mph. A Turn To
The West-northwest Is Expected During The Next 24 Hours. On The
Forecast Track...the Center Of The Depression Will Be Moving Nearly
Parallel To The Coastline Within The Warning Area Today And
Tonight.

Maximum Sustained Winds Are Near 35 Mph...55 Km/hr...with Higher
Gusts. Some Strengthening Is Forecast During The Next 24
Hours...and The Depression Could Become A Subtropical Or Tropical
Storm Later Today.

The Minimum Central Pressure Reported By A Reconnaissance Aircraft
Was 1004 Mb...29.65 Inches.

Rainfall Accumulations Of 2 To 4 Inches...with Isolated Maximum
Amounts Of 6 Inches...can Be Expected In Association With The
Depression.

Isolated Tornadoes Are Possible Over Southwestern Georgia...the
Florida Panhandle...and Southeastern Alabama Through Tonight.

Coastal Storm Surge Flooding Of 1 To 2 Feet Above Normal Tide Levels
Can Be Expected In Areas Of Onshore Flow.

Repeating The 1000 Am Cdt Position...29.2 N...85.5 W. Movement
Toward...northwest Near 8 Mph. Maximum Sustained Winds...35 Mph.
Minimum Central Pressure...1004 Mb.

An Intermediate Advisory Will Be Issued By The National Hurricane
Center At 100 Pm Cdt Followed By The Next Complete Advisory At 400
Pm Cdt.

$$
Forecaster Franklin

 

[Beachbummette]

This is what Dr. Master's has to say on Weatherunderground. I love them!

A large low pressure system (93L) over the Gulf of Mexico has gradually been acquiring tropical characteristics, but is in no hurry to intensify. Top surface winds measured at buoys in the Gulf of Mexico this morning have been 30 knots (35 mph), so this storm could technically qualify as a tropical depression if the current hurricane hunter mission finds a well-defined center of circulation. There are two Hurricane Hunters aircraft in the storm right now, and they have found several swaths of surface winds of 35 mph. Long range radar loops from the Florida Panhandle clearly show the storm's circulation, but the low level spiral bands are not well organized and are only slowly getting more organized. Satellite loops show a large, sloppy-looking storm. Storms that start off as large, non-tropical systems like 93L typically take several days to organize and become fully tropical, and 93L will not have time to become anything worse than a minimal tropical storm. The storm is capable of dumping some heavy rains along its path--radar estimated precipitation from the Tallahassee radar (Figure 1) were as high as three inches. As 93L becomes more tropical in nature, it will be able to generate higher rain amounts. But, with the storm expected to move inland by Saturday afternoon, it does not appear 93L has time to generate the kind of tropical rains that would make it a serious flood threat.