Ugabuga asked a hypothetical question- would we pay double?
Others jumped in and ran with that figure more literally as if the equation would be
no gulf drilling = 2 x price of gas
i only reminded folks that this number was not based on anything tangible. So I'm not sure why I am assigned homework but nonetheless- I'll at least do my fair share.
Here is a source that indicates that the amount of oil we get from the Gulf in a year is equal to approx. 8% of what we consume in a year.
PolitiFact | Hatch says '30 percent of our oil' comes from the Gulf
The numbers are based on 2009 and I presume consumption means only
gasoline used for autos. End disclaimers.
I'm no math or Econ wizard but if you cut the supply of something by 8% I do not believe this leads to a doubling in the price. That's point 1.
Point 2- truth is- the U.S. supply would not be cut by 8%. The US contribution to the oil being contributed to the world market would be cut. We don't get to keep the oil we produce for domestic use. We are an exporter of oil just like everyone else.
Point 3- it would be a cinch to cut consumption by greater than 8%.
I'm sure there are many variables left out here. But for what it is worth, I'm trying and I'm working around the fallacies we normally see.