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ecopal

Beach Fanatic
Apr 26, 2005
261
7
Ethanol

CASTRO WAS RIGHT
Apr 4th 2007
From The Economist print edition

?...corn-based ethanol, the sort produced in America, is neither cheap nor green. It requires almost as much energy to produce (more, say some studies) as it releases when it is burned...?

"...As more land is used to grow corn rather than other food crops, such as soy, their prices also rise. ... The food supply, in other words, is being diverted to feed America's hungry cars..."

It is not often that this newspaper finds itself in agreement with Fidel Castro, Cuba's tottering Communist dictator. But when he roused himself from his sickbed last week to write an article criticising George Bush's unhealthy enthusiasm for ethanol, he had a point.

Along with other critics of America's ethanol drive, Mr Castro warned against the ?sinister idea of converting food into fuel?. America's use of corn (maize) to make ethanol biofuel, which can then be blended with petrol to reduce the country's dependence on foreign oil, has already driven up the price of corn.

As more land is used to grow corn rather than other food crops, such as soy, their prices also rise. And since corn is used as animal feed, the price of meat goes up, too.

The food supply, in other words, is being diverted to feed America's hungry cars.

Ethanol is not much used in Europe, but it is a fuel additive in America, and a growing number of cars can use either gasoline or ethanol. It accounted for only around 3.5% of American fuel consumption last year, but production is growing by 25% a year. That's because the government both subsidises domestic production and penalises imports. As a result, refineries are popping up like mushrooms all over the midwest, which now sees itself as the Texas of green fuel.

Why is the government so generous? Because ethanol is just about the only alternative-energy initiative that has broad political support.

Farmers love it because it provides a new source of subsidy. Hawks love it because it offers the possibility that America may wean itself off Middle Eastern oil.

The automotive industry loves it, because it reckons that switching to a green fuel will take the global-warming heat off cars.

The oil industry loves it because the use of ethanol as a fuel additive means it is business as usual, at least for the time being.

Politicians love it because by subsidising it they can please all those constituencies.

Taxpayers seem not to have noticed that they are footing the bill.

Bad, good and best

But corn-based ethanol, the sort produced in America, is neither cheap nor green. It requires almost as much energy to produce (more, say some studies) as it releases when it is burned. And the subsidies on it cost taxpayers, according to the International Institute for Sustainable Development, somewhere between $5.5 billion and $7.3 billion a year.

Ethanol made from sugar cane, by contrast, is good. It produces far more energy than is needed to grow it, and Brazil?the main producer of sugar ethanol?has plenty of land available on which to grow sugar without necessarily reducing food production or encroaching on rainforests.

Other developing countries with tropical climates, such as India, the Philippines and even Cuba, could prosper by producing sugar ethanol and selling it to rich Americans to fuel their cars.

There is a brighter prospect still out there: cellulosic ethanol. It is made from feedstocks rich in cellulose, such as wood, various grasses and shrubs, and agricultural wastes. Turning it into ethanol requires expensive enzymes, but much research is under way to make the process cheaper.

Cellulosic ethanol would be even more energy-efficient to produce than sugar ethanol and would not impinge at all upon food production. Eventually, it might even allow countries with lots of trees and relatively few people, such as Sweden and New Zealand, to grow their own fuel rather than import oil.That is still some way off.

In the meantime, America should bin its silly policy. If it stopped taxing good ethanol and subsidising bad ethanol, the former would flourish, the latter would wither, the world would be greener and the American taxpayer would be richer.

Ethanol is not going to solve the world's energy problems on its own. But its proponents do not claim that it would. Ethanol is just one of a portfolio of new energy technologies that will be needed over the coming years. Good ethanol, that is?not the bad stuff America is so keen on.

http://www.economist.com/opinion/PrinterFriendly.cfm?story_id=8960412
 

Smiling JOe

SoWal Expert
Nov 18, 2004
31,644
1,773
Not sure why the big push is to use corn. Doing so will raise prices substantially on all corn products, meat, milk and eggs. Also, wheat will be replaced with the new cash crop, corn, so bread prices, and any wheat products will increase in cost to the consumer. There are certainly other plants which would have a lesser economic impact on consumers.
 

Smiling JOe

SoWal Expert
Nov 18, 2004
31,644
1,773
BTW, I haven't heard many people saying that the cost of ethanol would be less expensive than gasoline. In fact, for a while, it could be more expensive, or if there are seasons of drought, there could be major spikes in cost. IMO, the real benefits are that we will have a renewable fuel source, it will be cleaner for the environment, and we can give the finger to the dessert countries.
 

Allifunn

FunnChef - AlisonCooks.com
Jan 11, 2006
13,635
289
St Petersburg
I was informed by my food supplier that the govn't has allocated 1/2 the corn crop to the productuin of ethenol. This will drive up the prices of many corn product...but it is also affecting chicken, beef and hog prices. The farmers are getting 1/2 of the feed that they once were, and they are vying for the corn to feed their livestock thus driving up the prices of EVERYTHING. The cost of ethanol is only 15 cents less...where in the FRICK is the sense of this??????:pissed:
 

SHELLY

SoWal Insider
Jun 13, 2005
5,763
803
On the bright side....they're going to plow down housing subdivisions to make room for cornfields!! :clap_1:
 

Smiling JOe

SoWal Expert
Nov 18, 2004
31,644
1,773
I was informed by my food supplier that the govn't has allocated 1/2 the corn crop to the productuin of ethenol. This will drive up the prices of many corn product...but it is also affecting chicken, beef and hog prices. The farmers are getting 1/2 of the feed that they once were, and they are vying for the corn to feed their livestock thus driving up the prices of EVERYTHING. The cost of ethanol is only 15 cents less...where in the FRICK is the sense of this??????:pissed:
If the gov't is involved, it won't make sense. I thought Bush mentioned liking using Switch Grass, during his last State of the F'd Up Union Speech. :dunno: :bang: Sure sounded good when he was saying it, eh?
 
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Smiling JOe

SoWal Expert
Nov 18, 2004
31,644
1,773

U.S. Meat Supply to Fall Amid Higher Corn Prices
Copyright 2007 Los Angeles Times
April 11, 2007

The U.S. meat supply will fall by 1.7 pounds per person this year because demand for ethanol motor fuel has pushed corn prices to their highest level in a decade, boosting livestock feed costs, the government said Tuesday.

Beef, pork and chicken output will fall by 1 billion pounds, the U.S. Department of Agriculture said. Overall, it forecast 220 pounds of meat and poultry per American in 2007, down from 221.7 pounds per capita in 2006.

Meat output tends to rise every year, but the USDA has trimmed its 2007 forecast by 1.07 billion pounds, or 1.2%, since January. Output is pegged at 89.78 billion pounds for the year.

Feeders are using less corn and more wheat in their rations and are sending cattle and broiler chickens to market at lower weights because of rising costs.

With feed use down, the corn stockpile will tally 877 million bushels when this year's crop is ready for harvest, the USDA said. That would equal a four-week supply, compared with the USDA's previous estimate of a skimpy three-week carry-over of 752 million bushels.

The USDA said the 2006 corn crop would sell for an average $3.10 a bushel at the farm gate, the highest price in a decade.

Farmers say they will expand corn plantings by 15% this year, making a record crop possible.

Food prices will rise by 2.5% to 3.5% this year, the USDA said.
 

30A Skunkape

Skunky
Jan 18, 2006
10,314
2,349
55
Backatown Seagrove
I found this article written by George Will online today. It touches on several issues kicked around on the forum regularly.

The real reason for ?soaring? gas prices

By George Will

http://www.JewishWorldReview.com | THEY COME with metronomic regularity, these media stories about "soaring" gasoline prices and the causes thereof, news stories which always identify the same two culprits, supply and demand. The stories always give various reasons why supplies are tight ? more often, why prices include a risk premium based on fears that supplies might become tight ? or why demand is higher than it "should" be, given supposedly high prices.


Today, as the price of a gallon of regular ($2.70 nationally on Monday) "soars" almost to where it was (measured in constant dollars) in 1982, the "news" is: "Drivers Offer a Collective Ho-Hum as Gasoline Prices Soar" (The New York Times, last Friday). People are not changing their behavior because the real, inflation-adjusted cost of that behavior has not changed significantly, and neither has the cost of the commodity in question, relative to disposable income.


The next wave of stories about "soaring" gas prices will predictably trigger some politicians' indignation about oil companies' profits. The day after Exxon Mobil's announcement that it earned $39.5 billion in 2006, Hillary Clinton said: "I want to take those profits, and I want to put them into a strategic energy fund that will begin to fund alternative smart energy, alternatives and technologies that will begin to actually move us toward the direction of independence." Clinton's "take" reveals her confiscatory itch. Her clunky "toward the direction of" suggests that she actually knows that independence is as chimeric a goal as Soviet grain production goals were.


President Bush proposes reducing gasoline usage 20 percent in 10 years. Perhaps: After the oil shocks of the late 1970s, gasoline consumption fell 12 percent and did not again reach 1978 levels until 1993.


This decline was produced by an abrupt and substantial increase in the price of gasoline, which no politician, least of all the President, is proposing. And we actually could get lower prices because the President and various presidential candidates have become such enthusiasts for federal subsidies for ethanol and other alternative fuels.

If these fuels threaten seriously to dampen demand for oil, the Saudis might increase production enough to drive down oil prices, in order to make investments ? investors beware ? in alternative fuels even more uneconomic than they already are.


In the 20 years from 1987 to 2006, Exxon Mobil invested more ($279 billion) than it earned ($266 billion). Five weeks after the company announced its 2006 earnings, it said it will invest $60 billion in oil and gas projects over the next three years. It will, unless a President Clinton and a Democratic-controlled Congress "take" Big Oil's profits, which are much smaller than Big Government's revenue from gasoline consumption.


Oil companies make about 13 cents on a gallon of gas. Government makes much more. The federal tax is 18.4 cents per gallon. Mrs. Clinton's New York collects 42.4 cents a gallon. Forty-nine states ? all but Alaska ? make more than the oil companies do on every gallon.


In 1979 President Jimmy Carter, an early practitioner of the Oh, woe! School of Planetary Analysis (today Al Gore is the dean of that school), said that oil wells were "drying up all over the world." Not exactly.


In 1971, according to M.A. Adelman, an MIT economist, non-OPEC countries had remaining proven reserves of 200 billion barrels. After the next 33 years of global economic growth, Adelman says, those countries had produced 460 billion barrels and had 209 billion remaining. As for OPEC countries, in 1971 they had 412 billion in proven reserves; by 2004 they had produced 307 billion and had 819 billion remaining.


Note the adjective "proven." In 1930, U.S. proven reserves were 13 billion barrels. Then we fought a global war, fueled the largest, most sustained economic expansion in human history, and achieved today's electricity-powered "information economy." Today, America's proven reserves are about 30 billion barrels ? not counting the perhaps 15 billion in the field discovered last year in deep water 175 miles off Louisiana's coast.


America produces about one-quarter of the 20.6 million barrels of oil it uses a day. Unfortunately, just as liberals love employees but not employers, they want energy independence but do not want to drill in the "pristine" (read: desolate) Arctic National Wildlife Refuge (potential yield: 10.4 billion barrels) and are reluctant to countenance drilling offshore.


Well, then, what can be done immediately about the gasoline "crisis" du jour? Americans could save 1.2 billion of the 130 billion gallons of gasoline they use a year if they would properly inflate their tires.


And they might do that if ever "soaring" prices actually make gasoline unusually expensive.
 
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