Any chance it could skirt up the Atlantic side instead???
Be careful even if it does, Katrina did just that; made landfall on the Altlantic coast of Florida came across the state back into the gulf, where it got really nasty.
Tropical Deppression 4
- Thread starter BeachSiO2
- Start date
-
Trouble logging in? Send us a message with your username and/or email address for help.
Be careful even if it does, Katrina did just that; made landfall on the Altlantic coast of Florida came across the state back into the gulf, where it got really nasty.
Seems like I remember a storm named "Erin". Was that the year we had one every 2 weeks or something? I had a piece of plywood that we put it up on one window that had the names & dates that we put it up. I think the first name was Allison in June and I got tired of writing on it and stopped in August. 
Jeff Masters....
None of the computer models are forecasting that Dean will miss the Lesser Antilles Islands. The trough of low pressure that will pass north of the islands on Saturday is now expected to be a bit weaker than earlier forecast, which should allow Dean to pass into the Caribbean on a west to west-northwest track. The trough is no longer forecast to spawn an upper-level low pressure system, which means that the danger to the U.S. East Coast north of the Carolinas is minimal. A ridge of high pressure is expected to build in after the first trough passes on Saturday, which should keep Dean on a west to west-northwest path into the middle of next week. The southernmost model solutions (GFDL, Canadian) take Dean into Honduras early next week. The more northerly solutions of the GFS and HWRF take Dean over Jamaica, then into the Gulf of Mexico. No models call for a threat to the east coast of Florida at present, but that could change once we see how strong Saturday's trough of low pressure really will be. The NOAA jet is scheduled to make its first flight Thursday night, and by Friday morning we should have a good set of model runs that will give us a more reliable idea of Dean's likely track. At present, it appears that Dean's main threat to the U.S. will be to the Gulf of Mexico coast
None of the computer models are forecasting that Dean will miss the Lesser Antilles Islands. The trough of low pressure that will pass north of the islands on Saturday is now expected to be a bit weaker than earlier forecast, which should allow Dean to pass into the Caribbean on a west to west-northwest track. The trough is no longer forecast to spawn an upper-level low pressure system, which means that the danger to the U.S. East Coast north of the Carolinas is minimal. A ridge of high pressure is expected to build in after the first trough passes on Saturday, which should keep Dean on a west to west-northwest path into the middle of next week. The southernmost model solutions (GFDL, Canadian) take Dean into Honduras early next week. The more northerly solutions of the GFS and HWRF take Dean over Jamaica, then into the Gulf of Mexico. No models call for a threat to the east coast of Florida at present, but that could change once we see how strong Saturday's trough of low pressure really will be. The NOAA jet is scheduled to make its first flight Thursday night, and by Friday morning we should have a good set of model runs that will give us a more reliable idea of Dean's likely track. At present, it appears that Dean's main threat to the U.S. will be to the Gulf of Mexico coast
Seems like I remember a storm named "Erin". Was that the year we had one every 2 weeks or something? I had a piece of plywood that we put it up on one window that had the names & dates that we put it up. I think the first name was Allison in June and I got tired of writing on it and stopped in August.
Erin and Opal impacted sowal in 95.
We'll all be watching it.
Gulf of Mexico Coast is a little vague at best....but as we all well know, a lot could change this far out....right now it looks like maybe it'll blast itself right into the Yuctan Penisula....I'm guessing we will have to wait until Sunday to get a good consensus on the models
Yeah, that's what happened 2 years ago. We had flights and reservations for Sowal in June - Delta canceled because of a TS hit the day our flight was to land. We rescheduled for Oct. to go to Cancun. That's when Wilma hit. We lost out, comparatively speaking, on the vacation front.
