Ike

[Miss Kitty]

What I am looking at, looks more like Texas at a Cat 2, but the guesstimate is still more than 5 days out.

Kitty- you need to start thinking about PawPaw again as Houston doesn't look good...

Thanks for the heads up!!! I need you more than ever since I have storm fright and haven't looked too much, yet. Cat 2 actually sounds good to me.

 

[BeachSiO2]

Thanks for the heads up!!! I need you more than ever since I have storm fright and haven't looked too much, yet. Cat 2 actually sounds good to me.

At least I know the zip code.

 

[jensieblue]

God, I don't think my family around Shreveport can take much more. the expense of evacuation, repair, evacuation, repair. It hurts...

 

[pgurney]

At this point the tracks are still shifting west. Latest GFS model has it going to Houston.

 

[SGB]

From Dr. Jeff Masters this morning:

"Once Ike emerges into the Gulf of Mexico on Tuesday, a trough of low pressure passing to the north may be able to induce a more north-northwesterly to Ike, and pull it towards the Florida Panhandle, bringing tropical storm force winds to Tampa on Wednesday. The HWRF is the only model showing this, and the rest of the models push Ike more to the west, into the central Gulf of Mexico. The eventual landfall locations predicted by the models range from Alabama to the Mexican border. It is too early to have a feel for where Ike will go at this point, since landfall is probably 6-7 days form now."

We still need to keep an eye on this one.

 

[pgurney]

They just updated the model graphs and there is an even larger spread than previously. Everyone from the Florida panhandle to the TX/Mexico border needs to be watching this week.

 

[Joe Complete]

I don't find it very comforting that a group of models are still aiming Ike at Sowal.

Climatology seems to agree on the more drastic turn to the north.

 

[pgurney]

I don't find it very comforting that a group of models are still aiming Ike at Sowal.

Those models aren't the latest runs except for NGPS, they've shifted west. That being said, it's still not very comforting.

 

[NotDeadYet]

You can ignore the CLP5 model. It is historical.
High pressure will be the key. "A big bubble of no trouble." Come on down, black flies.

 

[DD]

God, I don't think my family around Shreveport can take much more. the expense of evacuation, repair, evacuation, repair. It hurts...

Shreveport had to evacuate? Who knew?