Forgot to say, regarding the link I posted - you can go to the site and see it, but there is some rule that prevents that model track from being reproduced elsewhere, so you won't find it on any of the spaghetti plots.
Hurricane Isaac
- Thread starter Kurt
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And if guests don't leave until the morning, is SO going to arrest them. Or us?
The 2pm NHC intermediate advisory is out. Winds are down to 60mph, pressure down a little to 994mb, and motion is WNW at 18mph. No tracks are updated at the 2pm advisory. The next NHC cone adjustment will be at 5pm. Storm still expected to increase intensity and model tracks are very wide for the upper Gulf coast.
http://www.spaghettimodels.com/
Note that it is voluntary at this time. There is no clear cut definition of what is a low lying area but gulf front often is. And if there is surge expected then you don't want to be near that.
Since we have relatively few visitors compared to summer season, hopefully traffic will not be too bad. But problems can arise, especially when timing is bad. For instance, if a storm intensifies and turns late in the day or during the night, folks will wake up and decide to leave, causing problems. Better to be safe than sorry.
Bridges close when sustained winds reach 40mph. We are on an island.
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We were able to add tomorrow to our reservations in Alabama...the best we can do is leave in the morning. We've heard nothing from the rental company we've rented from about anything, all my information has come from SOWAL. We're spending this beautiful day on the beach!!!
Thanks Kurt. I agree they don't want to be gulf front. And better safe than sorry, sure.
I see it's currently a voluntary evacuation, but it becomes mandatory in about 90 minutes, so I'm still wondering what that means so i can tell my guests. Do they stop southbound traffic across the bridge? Do they start knocking on gulf front doors or something?
I see it's currently a voluntary evacuation, but it becomes mandatory in about 90 minutes, so I'm still wondering what that means so i can tell my guests. Do they stop southbound traffic across the bridge? Do they start knocking on gulf front doors or something?
Latest EURO model still showing landfall at ~ Gulf Shores, AL.. This model is the Eastern-most of the major models right now. Most others show landfall from ~ Gulfport West to even Lake Charles.. Wish the EURO would get with the program, haha..
Yes - mandatory for low lying areas at 3PM today. Your guests can call Walton County Sheriff's info line at:
850-892-8394 or 850-892-8392.
From past experiences there will be no knocking on doors or arrests.
According to Walton County, tropical storm force winds are expected as early as 5PM Monday at which point the Choctawhatchee Bay bridge would be closed.
