No, not typically. But it happens. Tropical Storm Alberto on July 3, 1994, for one. The winds were never strong enough to be a serious threat, but that storm produced record-breaking rainfall and fatalities in Georgia from flooding. According to the NHC archives, it actually began as a wave off the coast of Africa on June 18. But it mostly died out and reformed more than once. When it finally took shape in the Gulf it blew up quickly. Take a look at the Watch and Warning Lead Times, from NHC:
For Destin:
Tropical Storm Watch - not issued
Tropical Storm Warning - 24 hours
Hurricane Warning - 15 hours.
That's right, 15 hours warning on Fourth of July weekend. Most people stayed put because it wasn't a Katrina, but lots decided to leave, that is the ones that were able to get gas. It was quite the traffic jam at the Seagrove Tom Thumb. Forecasting is better these days so we might get a bit longer, maybe enough hours to equal the evacuation time. Oh, but wait, on the Fourth of July, and everybody would have to leave pretty much at the same time....
Warning this post is not related to handcuffs
Thank you NDY for the Alberto reference and I did go to the site and found the following links and summaries. It is a very good example of what can happen on short notice but has some good lessons also. I am summarizing each into one sentence to make a point:
Keep in mind this storm has been being tracked in the gulf since before 11pm on Thursday, June 30th. The track is continually moving eastward with each update and they are saying over and over that there are numerous things that "could" or "might" affect it.
5am Sat Jul 02, Pensacola is part of the tropical storm area.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/storm_wallets/atlantic/atl1994/alberto/tropdisc/nal0194.008
11am Sat Jul 02, Destin and BSW are in the TS warning zone
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/storm_wallets/atlantic/atl1994/alberto/tropdisc/nal0194.009
11am Sun Jul 03, TS Alberto is right on the coast
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/storm_wallets/atlantic/atl1994/alberto/tropdisc/nal0194.014
My point is that there was a Tropical system that was being watched in the gulf for 3.5 days prior to landfall and continually moving eastward. It had an erratic track and was small in intensity meaning that it was subject to great location changes due to steering currents. At worst, the Weather Channel would be hyping this thing like armageddon itself for at least three days out and Cantore would have a tent on the beach 48 hours out. ;-)
In all seriousness, when a storm enters the gulf pay attention. If like with this example the track continues to move and they say they don't know where its going and there are numerous factors that could affect it- take advantage of all the time you have to get out. With the knowledge of what happened with Katrina, we really can't say- "I didn't know." Keep in mind with a Cat 3-4 storm most of the area NORTH of 98 will flood also due to Choctawhatchee Bay (think Mississippi). Not to mention the problems on the beach. Sorry for the hijack again. I promise to quit